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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 234
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Far Southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday morning from 500 AM until 1100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of east/southeastward-moving storms will likely
intensify this morning along and north of a northward-shifting warm
front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles northwest of
Mobile AL to 20 miles southeast of Marianna FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 234 SEVERE TSTM AL FL MS CW 131000Z - 131600Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55NW MOB/MOBILE AL/ - 20SE MAI/MARIANNA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /42NW SJI - 30W TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28040.
LAT...LON 32048891 31448494 29858494 30458891
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 234 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 234
VALID 131545Z - 131640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO
15 W MOB TO 20 ENE MOB TO 25 N PNS TO 15 SE GZH TO 30 WSW TOI.
..WENDT..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-031-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC047-059-131640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON JACKSON
$$
GMZ532-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-752-131640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 234
VALID 131445Z - 131540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO
20 ENE MOB TO 25 WSW GZH TO 30 SSE SEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 764
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER COFFEE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA
HOUSTON MOBILE
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC047-059-131540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON JACKSON
$$
GMZ532-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-752-131540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 234
VALID 131340Z - 131440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW GPT
TO 30 NNW MOB TO 45 WSW SEM.
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-099-129-131-
131440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CLARKE
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-047-059-131-131440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE HARRISON JACKSON
STONE
$$
GMZ532-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-752-131440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 234
VALID 131255Z - 131340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-099-129-
131-131340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON
MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-041-047-059-111-131-153-131340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HARRISON
JACKSON PERRY STONE
WAYNE
$$
GMZ532-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-752-131340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 234
VALID 131030Z - 131140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-099-129-
131-131140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON
MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-041-047-059-111-131-153-131140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HARRISON
JACKSON PERRY STONE
WAYNE
$$
GMZ532-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-752-131140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.