Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest Louisiana
Southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The threat for supercells with a couple of tornadoes will
slowly increase through the afternoon as a warm front moves slowly
northward across southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. The
tornado threat will be greater with storms along the warm front.
Storms along and to the cool side of the front will pose a threat
for large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter, as well as isolated
damaging gusts of 60-70 mph.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
north and south of a line from 120 miles west of Port Arthur TX to
35 miles east northeast of Lake Charles LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 232...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 26025.
...Thompson
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest Louisiana
Southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The threat for supercells with a couple of tornadoes will
slowly increase through the afternoon as a warm front moves slowly
northward across southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. The
tornado threat will be greater with storms along the warm front.
Storms along and to the cool side of the front will pose a threat
for large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter, as well as isolated
damaging gusts of 60-70 mph.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
north and south of a line from 120 miles west of Port Arthur TX to
35 miles east northeast of Lake Charles LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 232...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 26025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 233 TORNADO LA TX CW 121730Z - 130000Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
120W BPT/PORT ARTHUR TX/ - 35ENE LCH/LAKE CHARLES LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /35W IAH - 25ENE LCH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 30449602 30839268 29829268 29439602
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 233 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 233
VALID 122245Z - 122340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW LFT
TO 30 N BPT TO 20 WSW LFK.
..HART..05/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-009-011-039-079-097-115-122340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD
EVANGELINE RAPIDES ST. LANDRY
VERNON
$$
TXC241-351-457-122340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JASPER NEWTON TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 233
VALID 122035Z - 122140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..05/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-011-019-023-039-053-079-113-115-122140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN BEAUREGARD
CALCASIEU CAMERON EVANGELINE
JEFFERSON DAVIS RAPIDES VERMILION
VERNON
$$
TXC071-199-201-241-245-291-339-351-361-373-407-457-473-122140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMBERS HARDIN HARRIS
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TYLER
WALLER
$$
GMZ430-432-122140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 233
VALID 121930Z - 122040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 759
..WENDT..05/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-122040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC071-199-201-241-245-291-339-351-361-373-407-457-473-122040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMBERS HARDIN HARRIS
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TYLER
WALLER
$$
GMZ430-432-122040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 233
VALID 121840Z - 121940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..05/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-121940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
$$
TXC071-199-201-241-245-291-339-351-361-373-407-457-473-121940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMBERS HARDIN HARRIS
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SAN JACINTO TYLER
WALLER
$$
GMZ430-432-121940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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