Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and central Kansas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms including supercells are
expected to develop through early evening, initially near a surface
low and dryline and warm/nearly stationary front across western
Kansas. Even if storms remain relatively isolated, they will be
capable of very large hail, tornadoes, and very strong wind gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Garden City KS to 55
miles south southeast of Russell KS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
...Guyer
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and central Kansas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms including supercells are
expected to develop through early evening, initially near a surface
low and dryline and warm/nearly stationary front across western
Kansas. Even if storms remain relatively isolated, they will be
capable of very large hail, tornadoes, and very strong wind gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Garden City KS to 55
miles south southeast of Russell KS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 172 TORNADO KS 012155Z - 020500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40W GCK/GARDEN CITY KS/ - 55SSE RSL/RUSSELL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /34W GCK - 46WNW ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 38800145 38999843 37259843 37060145
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 172 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 172
VALID 020230Z - 020340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HUT
TO 45 WNW GCK.
..MOSIER..05/02/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 172
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-051-063-101-109-135-165-167-171-195-203-020340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON ELLIS GOVE
LANE LOGAN NESS
RUSH RUSSELL SCOTT
TREGO WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 172
VALID 020055Z - 020140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..05/02/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 172
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-067-069-081-083-093-097-
101-109-119-135-145-151-165-167-171-175-185-189-195-203-
020140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
FINNEY FORD GOVE
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA
LANE LOGAN MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH RUSSELL SCOTT
SEWARD STAFFORD STEVENS
TREGO WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.