Mesoscale Discussion 0597
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0955 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

   Areas affected...Far Northeast CO...Western and Central
   KS...Southwest/South-Central NE

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172...174...

   Valid 020255Z - 020430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172, 174
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for large hail and damaging gusts will
   continue, with the tornado threat expected to gradually diminish
   over the next hour or two.

   DISCUSSION...Two separate convective regimes currently exist across
   the region, a discrete mode regime across central KS and a more
   linear, forced regime from far northeast CO into northwestern KS and
   southwest NE. A pair of persistent supercells remain within the
   discrete mode regime across central KS, although recent trends
   suggest each of these supercells may be weakening and becoming
   increasingly dissociated from the boundary layer. Even so, moist
   low-level flow will continue to advect northward amid a
   strengthening low-level jet, which will likely allow storms to
   persist for a bit longer before gradually weakening.

   Several bowing segments exist farther north from far northeast CO
   into far northwest KS and far southwest NE. This cluster is expected
   to continue eastward, with some additional southeastward development
   along the front possible as well. Steep mid-level lapse rates will
   continue to promote the development of large hail, with some strong
   gusts possible as well, particularly on the southern edge of this
   cluster and when any storm mergers occur.

   ..Mosier.. 05/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38549857 38389994 38900151 39110272 39460288 39830194
               40180137 40430108 40590074 40660003 40539947 40009840
               38549857