Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 53
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
southern Alabama
western portions of the Florida Panhandle
southeastern Louisiana
southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from NOON until 700
PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue increasing in
coverage and intensity this afternoon, with stronger storms/bands
likely to produce damaging wind gusts and hail.
Storms will spread eastward/southeastward with time, weakening --
and gradually moving offshore -- by early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles north
northwest of Houma LA to 30 miles east of Crestview FL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 52...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Goss
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 53
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
southern Alabama
western portions of the Florida Panhandle
southeastern Louisiana
southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from NOON until 700
PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue increasing in
coverage and intensity this afternoon, with stronger storms/bands
likely to produce damaging wind gusts and hail.
Storms will spread eastward/southeastward with time, weakening --
and gradually moving offshore -- by early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles north
northwest of Houma LA to 30 miles east of Crestview FL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 52...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Goss
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 53 SEVERE TSTM AL FL LA MS CW 151700Z - 160000Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50NNW HUM/HOUMA LA/ - 30E CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /22SE BTR - 34E CEW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 31409099 31948601 29628601 29089099
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 53 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 53
VALID 152250Z - 152340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE BVE
TO 35 NE BVE TO 35 SE MOB TO 20 N PNS TO 10 WNW DHN TO 35 NE DHN.
..WENDT..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...LIX...LCH...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC045-061-067-069-152340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALE GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-152340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ557-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-152340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 53
VALID 152150Z - 152240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW BVE
TO 30 NW BVE TO 35 SSW GPT TO 25 E GPT TO 5 NE MOB TO 25 SE GZH
TO 20 SE TOI TO 35 N DHN TO 40 S CSG.
..WENDT..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...LIX...LCH...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-031-039-045-053-061-067-069-097-152240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR COFFEE
COVINGTON DALE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
MOBILE
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-152240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC075-152240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
PLAQUEMINES
$$
GMZ536-538-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-152240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 53
VALID 152040Z - 152140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW HUM
TO 30 SSE ASD TO 25 NW MOB TO 20 SW GZH TO 30 SW TOI TO 35 S CSG.
..LEITMAN..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...LIX...LCH...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-031-039-045-053-061-067-069-097-152140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR COFFEE
COVINGTON DALE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
MOBILE
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-152140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC051-057-075-087-109-152140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE PLAQUEMINES
ST. BERNARD TERREBONNE
$$
MSC039-059-152140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE JACKSON
$$
GMZ532-534-536-538-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-
152140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 53
VALID 151940Z - 152040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE LFT
TO 55 NW MSY TO 20 E PIB TO 25 NW GZH TO 10 E TOI TO 25 SSW CSG.
..LEITMAN..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...LIX...LCH...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099-
109-129-152040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BUTLER
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE
PIKE WASHINGTON
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-152040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC005-007-047-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-093-095-103-105-109-
117-152040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON
ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC035-039-041-045-047-059-073-109-111-131-152040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FORREST GEORGE GREENE
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
LAMAR PEARL RIVER PERRY
STONE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-
750-152040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 53
VALID 151850Z - 151940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE LFT
TO 15 SSW MCB TO 25 NE MCB TO 35 W PIB TO 10 NE TOI.
..LEITMAN..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...LIX...LCH...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099-
109-129-151940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BUTLER
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE
PIKE WASHINGTON
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-151940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC005-007-033-047-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-091-093-095-103-
105-109-117-121-151940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE
LIVINGSTON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES
ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
MSC035-039-041-045-047-059-073-091-109-111-113-131-147-153-
151940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FORREST GEORGE GREENE
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
LAMAR MARION PEARL RIVER
PERRY PIKE STONE
WALTHALL WAYNE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-
750-151940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.