Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 9
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
parts of western and central Arkansas
northwestern Louisiana
southeastern Oklahoma
northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 955 PM
until 400 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Strong/locally severe thunderstorms have developed this
evening across the Arkansas vicinity, with additional storm
development expected over the next couple of hours along the cold
front, across northeastern Texas and spreading across the Arklatex
region overnight. The strongest storms across this region will be
capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail, with a
couple of tornadoes also possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 55 miles north of Corsicana TX to 45
miles east of Hot Springs AR. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Goss
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 9
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
parts of western and central Arkansas
northwestern Louisiana
southeastern Oklahoma
northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 955 PM
until 400 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Strong/locally severe thunderstorms have developed this
evening across the Arkansas vicinity, with additional storm
development expected over the next couple of hours along the cold
front, across northeastern Texas and spreading across the Arklatex
region overnight. The strongest storms across this region will be
capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail, with a
couple of tornadoes also possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 55 miles north of Corsicana TX to 45
miles east of Hot Springs AR. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Goss
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 9 TORNADO AR LA OK TX 120355Z - 121000Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55N CRS/CORSICANA TX/ - 45E HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /32E TTT - 14SSW LIT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
LAT...LON 33989640 35639231 33319231 31679640
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 9 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 9
VALID 120850Z - 120940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CLL
TO 40 NNW TYR TO 40 ENE DEQ TO 30 SSW HRO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 49
..DEAN..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069-
071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-115-117-119-125-
133-139-141-145-147-149-120940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE SEVIER UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
LAC015-017-027-119-120940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
WEBSTER
$$
TXC001-037-063-067-073-159-161-183-203-213-315-343-365-401-423-
449-459-499-120940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
FREESTONE GREGG HARRISON
HENDERSON MARION MORRIS
PANOLA RUSK SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 9
VALID 120735Z - 120840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE DAL
TO 15 ENE PRX TO 35 NNW DEQ TO 35 SE FYV.
..DEAN..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069-
071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-
125-127-133-139-141-145-147-149-120840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEVIER UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC015-017-027-119-120840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-120840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-037-063-067-073-159-161-183-203-213-223-257-293-315-343-
349-365-379-387-401-423-449-459-467-499-120840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
FREESTONE GREGG HARRISON
HENDERSON HOPKINS KAUFMAN
LIMESTONE MARION MORRIS
NAVARRO PANOLA RAINS
RED RIVER RUSK SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR VAN ZANDT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 9
VALID 120640Z - 120740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 47
..DEAN..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-069-
071-073-081-083-085-091-095-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-
125-127-131-133-139-141-145-147-149-120740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
LAC015-017-027-119-120740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
WEBSTER
$$
OKC023-079-089-127-120740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC001-037-063-067-073-119-147-159-161-183-203-213-223-231-257-
277-293-315-343-349-365-379-387-397-401-423-449-459-467-499-
120740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE DELTA
FANNIN FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GREGG HARRISON HENDERSON
HOPKINS HUNT KAUFMAN
LAMAR LIMESTONE MARION
MORRIS NAVARRO PANOLA
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
RUSK SMITH TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.