Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 499
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-Central Kansas
Northern Oklahoma
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 500 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A cluster or two of thunderstorms will move east-northeast
across the Watch area through the evening. Some of the stronger
downdrafts will be capable of severe gusts (60-70 mph).
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Emporia KS to 30 miles west southwest of Ponca City OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 497...WW 498...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 499 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 022200Z - 030300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35WNW EMP/EMPORIA KS/ - 30WSW PNC/PONCA CITY OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /46ESE SLN - 20NE END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38529567 36559652 36559868 38529789
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 499 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 499
VALID 030055Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW AVK TO
35 SE ICT TO 35 W CNU TO 25 NNE EMP.
..MOORE..07/03/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-035-049-030140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY ELK
$$
OKC003-053-071-030140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GRANT KAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 499
VALID 022350Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNW AVK TO
45 SSW ICT TO 5 SE ICT TO 20 ENE HUT TO 15 NE SLN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1514
..MOORE..07/02/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-019-035-049-073-079-115-191-030040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARVEY MARION SUMNER
$$
OKC003-053-071-030040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GRANT KAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 499
VALID 022305Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW AVK
TO 40 ESE P28 TO 5 NNE SLN.
..MOORE..07/02/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-019-035-049-073-079-113-115-173-191-030040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARVEY MCPHERSON MARION
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-053-071-030040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GRANT KAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.