Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 486
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Southwest into Central Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 505 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to continue to
develop late this afternoon into the evening across the northern
part of the Watch area and gradually push east-southeast. Severe
gusts 60-75 mph will be the primary hazard with the stronger storms,
although large hail 1 to 1.5 inches in diameter will be possible
with the more intense thunderstorms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west of
Bartlesville OK to 30 miles east northeast of Vichy MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 482...WW 483...WW
484...WW 485...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28015.
...Smith
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 486
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Southwest into Central Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 505 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to continue to
develop late this afternoon into the evening across the northern
part of the Watch area and gradually push east-southeast. Severe
gusts 60-75 mph will be the primary hazard with the stronger storms,
although large hail 1 to 1.5 inches in diameter will be possible
with the more intense thunderstorms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west of
Bartlesville OK to 30 miles east northeast of Vichy MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 482...WW 483...WW
484...WW 485...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28015.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 486 SEVERE TSTM KS MO OK 292205Z - 300400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55W BVO/BARTLESVILLE OK/ - 30ENE VIH/VICHY MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /50ENE END - 50SW STL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.
LAT...LON 37419701 38959126 37649126 36119701
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 486 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 486
VALID 300335Z - 300400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE VIH
TO 50 NNE SGF TO 50 WNW TBN TO 35 NE VIH.
WW 486 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300400Z.
..GRAMS..06/30/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...EAX...LSX...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 486
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-125-300400-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA MONTGOMERY
$$
MOC029-300400-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMDEN
$$
OKC097-113-117-131-143-145-147-300400-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MAYES OSAGE PAWNEE
ROGERS TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 486
VALID 300210Z - 300340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N PNC TO
35 NW BVO TO 25 WSW JLN TO 10 N SGF TO 50 SSE SZL TO 35 W STL.
..SQUITIERI..06/30/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...EAX...LSX...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 486
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-125-300340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA MONTGOMERY
$$
MOC029-105-161-169-300340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMDEN LACLEDE PHELPS
PULASKI
$$
OKC001-021-097-113-117-131-143-145-147-300340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE MAYES
OSAGE PAWNEE ROGERS
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 486
VALID 300050Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW PNC
TO 35 NW BVO TO 35 WNW STL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1483
..WEINMAN..06/30/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...EAX...LSX...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 486
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-021-037-099-125-300140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY
$$
MOC011-015-029-039-051-055-057-059-073-077-085-097-105-109-125-
131-141-145-151-161-167-169-185-217-300140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BENTON CAMDEN
CEDAR COLE CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS GASCONADE
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MARIES
MILLER MORGAN NEWTON
OSAGE PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR VERNON
$$
OKC001-021-035-041-097-105-113-115-117-131-143-145-147-300140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CRAIG
DELAWARE MAYES NOWATA
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
ROGERS TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 486
VALID 292350Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S EMP TO
20 NE CNU TO 40 WSW JEF TO 40 ENE COU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1483
..WEINMAN..06/29/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...EAX...LSX...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 486
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-019-021-035-037-049-099-125-133-205-300040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COWLEY CRAWFORD
ELK LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC011-015-029-039-051-055-057-059-073-077-085-097-105-109-125-
131-141-145-151-161-167-169-185-217-300040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BENTON CAMDEN
CEDAR COLE CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS GASCONADE
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MARIES
MILLER MORGAN NEWTON
OSAGE PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR VERNON
$$
OKC001-021-035-041-097-105-113-115-117-131-143-145-147-300040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CRAIG
DELAWARE MAYES NOWATA
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
ROGERS TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.