Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 485
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Indiana
Northern Kentucky
Southwest Ohio
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 505 PM until Midnight
EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A bowing line segment will continue to shift
east/southeast through this evening. The main risk with this
activity will be severe gusts with localized wind damage expected.
The severe threat should wane with southward extent toward mid to
late evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west of Dayton
OH to 40 miles southeast of Cincinnati OH. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 482...WW 483...WW 484...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Leitman
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 485 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH 292105Z - 300400Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25W DAY/DAYTON OH/ - 40SE LUK/CINCINNATI OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /38SW ROD - 43ESE CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 39908375 38688297 38688482 39908563
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 485 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 485
VALID 300045Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE LEX
TO 30 W UNI.
..WEINMAN..06/30/24
ATTN...WFO...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC135-300140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEWIS
$$
OHC145-300140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SCIOTO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 485
VALID 292340Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W LUK TO
10 NNE LUK TO 35 E DAY.
..WEINMAN..06/29/24
ATTN...WFO...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-115-137-155-300040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN OHIO RIPLEY
SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-135-161-187-191-201-300040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT
KENTON LEWIS MASON
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
$$
OHC001-015-025-027-047-071-131-141-145-165-300040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CLERMONT
CLINTON FAYETTE HIGHLAND
PIKE ROSS SCIOTO
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 485
VALID 292250Z - 292340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE IND TO
30 NW LUK TO 20 NNW DAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1478
..WEINMAN..06/29/24
ATTN...WFO...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-047-115-137-155-292340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN FRANKLIN OHIO
RIPLEY SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-135-161-187-191-201-292340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT
KENTON LEWIS MASON
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
$$
OHC001-015-017-025-027-047-057-061-071-113-131-135-141-145-165-
292340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUTLER
CLERMONT CLINTON FAYETTE
GREENE HAMILTON HIGHLAND
MONTGOMERY PIKE PREBLE
ROSS SCIOTO WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.