Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 182
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northeast Kansas
Southeast Nebraska
Northern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 945 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple well-organized squall lines will continue to
progress eastward into the overnight within an increasingly moist
air mass across southern Nebraska/far northern Kansas as well as
central Kansas. Other areas of strong to severe storms will likely
persist across northern Oklahoma.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast
of Beatrice NE to 85 miles southwest of Enid OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW
180...WW 181...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 182 SEVERE TSTM KS NE OK 040245Z - 040900Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE BIE/BEATRICE NE/ - 85SW END/ENID OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /36NNW PWE - 68SE MMB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 40759544 35479801 35479997 40759754
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 182 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 182
VALID 040445Z - 040540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/04/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127-
131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CHASE CLAY
CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH
GEARY HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
RENO REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE
SALINE SEWARD
$$
OKC003-011-017-039-043-045-047-053-059-073-083-093-109-129-151-
153-040540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CANADIAN
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GRANT HARPER
KINGFISHER LOGAN MAJOR
OKLAHOMA ROGER MILLS WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.