Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 173
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-central and East Texas
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 745 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms are expected to further
develop across south-central into east Texas this evening, including
parts of the I-35/I-45 corridors. Bouts of large hail and damaging
winds are expected to be the primary hazards, but a tornado could
also occur given the moist environment and some strengthening of
low-level winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Huntsville TX to 60 miles northwest of New Braunfels TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...WW 172...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Guyer
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 173
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-central and East Texas
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 745 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms are expected to further
develop across south-central into east Texas this evening, including
parts of the I-35/I-45 corridors. Bouts of large hail and damaging
winds are expected to be the primary hazards, but a tornado could
also occur given the moist environment and some strengthening of
low-level winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Huntsville TX to 60 miles northwest of New Braunfels TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...WW 172...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 173 SEVERE TSTM TX 020045Z - 020700Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40ENE UTS/HUNTSVILLE TX/ - 60NW BAZ/NEW BRAUNFELS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /14SSW LFK - 44NNW SAT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 30159485 29549874 31139874 31759485
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 173 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 173
VALID 020335Z - 020440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 598
..THORNTON..05/02/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 173
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-089-091-145-149-161-171-
185-209-225-259-287-289-293-299-313-331-339-373-395-407-453-455-
471-473-477-491-020440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON AUSTIN BASTROP
BELL BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
COLORADO COMAL FALLS
FAYETTE FREESTONE GILLESPIE
GRIMES HAYS HOUSTON
KENDALL LEE LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MADISON
MILAM MONTGOMERY POLK
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 173
VALID 020230Z - 020340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..05/02/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 173
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-089-091-145-149-161-171-
185-209-225-259-287-289-293-299-313-331-339-373-395-407-453-455-
471-473-477-491-020340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON AUSTIN BASTROP
BELL BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
COLORADO COMAL FALLS
FAYETTE FREESTONE GILLESPIE
GRIMES HAYS HOUSTON
KENDALL LEE LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MADISON
MILAM MONTGOMERY POLK
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 173
VALID 020130Z - 020240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..05/02/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 173
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-089-091-145-149-161-171-
185-209-225-259-287-289-293-299-313-331-339-373-395-407-453-455-
471-473-477-491-020240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON AUSTIN BASTROP
BELL BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
COLORADO COMAL FALLS
FAYETTE FREESTONE GILLESPIE
GRIMES HAYS HOUSTON
KENDALL LEE LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MADISON
MILAM MONTGOMERY POLK
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.