Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-central and western North Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon from 530 PM until Midnight CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will initially be focused across
western north Texas, with a further increase in storm coverage and
intensity across the Big Country and Edwards Plateau vicinities this
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles south southwest
of Hondo TX to 100 miles north of Abilene TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Guyer
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM CST Fri Feb 2 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-central and western North Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon from 530 PM until Midnight CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will initially be focused across
western north Texas, with a further increase in storm coverage and
intensity across the Big Country and Edwards Plateau vicinities this
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles south southwest
of Hondo TX to 100 miles north of Abilene TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 13 SEVERE TSTM TX 022330Z - 030600Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SSW HDO/HONDO TX/ - 100N ABI/ABILENE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /68N LRD - 42SE CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 28610093 33860116 33869820 28619813
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 13 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 13
VALID 030450Z - 030600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW LRD TO
10 NW COT TO 20 NE COT TO 50 NW NIR TO 40 S BAZ TO 30 E BAZ TO 15
SE AUS TO 15 NE AUS TO 35 W CLL.
WW 13 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 030600Z.
..JEWELL..02/03/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC021-123-177-255-030600-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BASTROP DEWITT GONZALES
KARNES
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 13
VALID 030305Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW DRT
TO 50 NE DRT TO 40 NE JCT TO 15 ENE BWD TO 25 WSW MWL TO 10 SSE
SPS TO 25 WSW FSI.
..JEWELL..02/03/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-021-029-031-053-055-077-091-093-099-123-127-137-143-
163-171-177-187-193-209-237-255-259-265-267-271-281-299-319-323-
325-333-363-385-411-453-463-491-493-507-030440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP
BEXAR BLANCO BURNET
CALDWELL CLAY COMAL
COMANCHE CORYELL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS ERATH
FRIO GILLESPIE GONZALES
GUADALUPE HAMILTON HAYS
JACK KARNES KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMPASAS LLANO MASON
MAVERICK MEDINA MILLS
PALO PINTO REAL SAN SABA
TRAVIS UVALDE WILLIAMSON
WILSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 13
VALID 030130Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE 6R6
TO 60 NNW DRT TO 50 W JCT TO 35 ESE SJT TO 15 SE ABI TO 55 NNE
ABI TO 25 SSW LTS.
..JEWELL..02/03/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-013-019-023-029-031-049-053-059-083-091-093-095-127-133-
137-163-171-187-209-255-259-265-267-271-281-299-307-319-323-325-
327-333-385-411-413-417-429-435-447-463-465-487-493-503-507-
030240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER ATASCOSA BANDERA
BAYLOR BEXAR BLANCO
BROWN BURNET CALLAHAN
COLEMAN COMAL COMANCHE
CONCHO DIMMIT EASTLAND
EDWARDS FRIO GILLESPIE
GUADALUPE HAYS KARNES
KENDALL KERR KIMBLE
KINNEY LAMPASAS LLANO
MCCULLOCH MASON MAVERICK
MEDINA MENARD MILLS
REAL SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS SUTTON
THROCKMORTON UVALDE VAL VERDE
WILBARGER WILSON YOUNG
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 13
VALID 030045Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNW 6R6 TO
45 ENE 6R6 TO 25 SSW SJT TO 20 NNE SJT TO 25 SW ABI TO 45 N ABI
TO 60 SSE CDS TO 20 ESE CDS.
..JEWELL..02/03/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-013-019-023-029-031-049-053-059-083-091-093-095-105-127-
133-137-155-163-171-187-197-207-209-253-255-259-265-267-271-275-
281-299-307-319-323-325-327-333-385-399-411-413-417-429-435-441-
447-451-463-465-487-493-503-507-030140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER ATASCOSA BANDERA
BAYLOR BEXAR BLANCO
BROWN BURNET CALLAHAN
COLEMAN COMAL COMANCHE
CONCHO CROCKETT DIMMIT
EASTLAND EDWARDS FOARD
FRIO GILLESPIE GUADALUPE
HARDEMAN HASKELL HAYS
JONES KARNES KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
KNOX LAMPASAS LLANO
MCCULLOCH MASON MAVERICK
MEDINA MENARD MILLS
REAL RUNNELS SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
SUTTON TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE
WILBARGER WILSON YOUNG
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.