Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 3
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
840 PM CST Mon Jan 8 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
The western Florida Panhandle
Southeastern Louisiana
Southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 840 PM
until 700 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A squall line is expected to strengthen while moving
eastward overnight from Louisiana/southern Mississippi to southern
Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle closer to sunrise. The
storm environment will be favorable for rotating storms within and
just ahead of the line, with the potential for a couple of strong
(EF2-EF3) tornadoes, damaging gusts up to 75 mph and isolated large
hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles northwest of Houma LA to 40
miles northeast of Panama City FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 2. Watch number 2 will not be in effect after 840 PM
CST. CONTINUE...WW 1...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 3
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
840 PM CST Mon Jan 8 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
The western Florida Panhandle
Southeastern Louisiana
Southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 840 PM
until 700 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A squall line is expected to strengthen while moving
eastward overnight from Louisiana/southern Mississippi to southern
Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle closer to sunrise. The
storm environment will be favorable for rotating storms within and
just ahead of the line, with the potential for a couple of strong
(EF2-EF3) tornadoes, damaging gusts up to 75 mph and isolated large
hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles northwest of Houma LA to 40
miles northeast of Panama City FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 2. Watch number 2 will not be in effect after 840 PM
CST. CONTINUE...WW 1...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 3 TORNADO AL FL LA MS CW 090240Z - 091300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
65NW HUM/HOUMA LA/ - 40NE PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /17SSW BTR - 43W TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
REPLACES WW 2..LA MS CW
LAT...LON 31259144 31648520 29628520 29229144
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 3 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 3
VALID 091200Z - 091340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW PNS
TO 10 SSE PNS TO 25 ESE GZH TO 15 NW TOI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 26
..JEWELL..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-039-041-045-061-067-069-091340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-045-059-063-091-131-133-091340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ634-635-636-655-750-752-091340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 3
VALID 091055Z - 091140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E BVE TO
60 S MOB TO 35 SSE MOB TO 30 ENE MOB TO 25 WNW GZH TO 10 SSE SEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 25
..JEWELL..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-099-091140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER COFFEE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON MONROE
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-091140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ631-633-634-635-636-650-655-750-752-091140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 3
VALID 090930Z - 091040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW BVE TO
15 NNE BVE TO 15 SSE GPT TO 30 WNW MOB TO 40 N MOB TO 50 SE MEI
TO 50 ESE MEI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 25
..JEWELL..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099-129-
131-091040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CLARKE
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-091040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-041-059-091040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE JACKSON
$$
GMZ532-536-538-552-555-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-655-
750-752-091040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 3
VALID 090850Z - 090940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE HUM TO
15 SSE ASD TO 25 ESE MEI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 25
..LYONS..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099-
129-131-090940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-090940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC071-075-087-090940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD
$$
MSC039-041-045-047-059-111-131-153-090940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON PERRY
STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ532-534-536-538-552-555-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-636-650-
655-750-752-090940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 3
VALID 090525Z - 090640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E LFT TO
40 NW PIB.
..LEITMAN..01/09/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 3
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099-
129-131-090640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON MOBILE MONROE
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-090640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC005-007-033-047-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-091-093-095-103-
105-109-117-121-090640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE
LIVINGSTON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES
ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
MSC031-035-039-041-045-047-059-065-067-073-077-091-109-111-113-
131-147-153-090640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COVINGTON FORREST GEORGE
GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
LAMAR LAWRENCE MARION
PEARL RIVER PERRY PIKE
STONE WALTHALL WAYNE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-
636-650-655-750-752-090640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.