Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 493
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF FORT SILL
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 488...WW 489...WW
490...WW 491...WW 492...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SCENTRAL KS TO SWRN OK WILL
CONTINUE DEVELOPING EWD THROUGH THE EVENING. AIR MASS IS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH 40-50 KT OF SHEAR. POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS YET AS STORMS MOVE
EWD.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 493 SEVERE TSTM KS MO OK 090045Z - 090700Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NNE JLN/JOPLIN MO/ - 10S FSI/FORT SILL OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /27SE BUM - 32NNE SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 37939251 34509691 34509988 37939563
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 493 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 493
VALID 090655Z - 090700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PNC TO 30 N
CQB TO 30 NNE CQB TO 20 SSE CQB TO 25 WNW MLC.
PARTS OF WW 493 LOCATED IN CENTRAL AND SRN OK WILL BE EXTENDED IN
TIME TO 09Z. THE REST OF WW 493 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 07Z.
..PETERS..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...SGF...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-051-065-073-075-081-083-087-103-109-119-125-
133-090700-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE GRADY JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN NOBLE
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 493
VALID 090530Z - 090640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE CNU TO
35 WSW JLN TO 15 SW JLN TO 15 NNW JLN TO 15 WNW SGF TO 15 NE SGF.
..PETERS..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...SGF...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC097-119-145-090640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JASPER MCDONALD NEWTON
$$
OKC015-017-027-031-035-037-041-051-065-073-075-081-083-087-097-
103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-125-131-133-143-145-147-
090640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE GRADY JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAYES
NOBLE NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 493
VALID 090435Z - 090540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...SGF...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-037-090540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC011-039-057-059-097-119-145-167-217-090540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CEDAR DADE
DALLAS JASPER MCDONALD
NEWTON POLK VERNON
$$
OKC015-017-027-031-035-037-041-051-065-073-075-081-083-087-097-
103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-125-131-133-143-145-147-
090540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE GRADY JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAYES
NOBLE NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 493
VALID 090410Z - 090540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...SGF...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-037-090540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC011-039-057-059-097-119-145-167-217-090540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CEDAR DADE
DALLAS JASPER MCDONALD
NEWTON POLK VERNON
$$
OKC015-017-027-031-035-037-041-051-065-073-075-081-083-087-097-
103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-125-131-133-143-145-147-
090540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE GRADY JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAYES
NOBLE NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 493
VALID 090345Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE PNC TO
40 NW GMJ TO 55 NNE JLN.
..SMITH..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...SGF...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-037-090440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC011-039-057-059-097-119-145-167-217-090440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CEDAR DADE
DALLAS JASPER MCDONALD
NEWTON POLK VERNON
$$
OKC015-017-027-031-035-037-041-051-065-073-075-081-083-087-097-
103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-125-131-133-143-145-147-
090440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE GRADY JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAYES
NOBLE NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 493
VALID 090245Z - 090340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...SGF...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-021-037-090340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC011-039-057-059-097-119-145-167-217-090340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CEDAR DADE
DALLAS JASPER MCDONALD
NEWTON POLK VERNON
$$
OKC015-017-027-031-035-037-041-051-065-073-075-081-083-087-097-
103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-125-131-133-143-145-147-
090340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE GRADY JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAYES
NOBLE NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 493
VALID 090145Z - 090240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1290
..SMITH..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...SGF...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-021-037-090240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC011-039-057-059-097-119-145-167-217-090240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CEDAR DADE
DALLAS JASPER MCDONALD
NEWTON POLK VERNON
$$
OKC015-017-027-031-035-037-041-051-065-073-075-081-083-087-097-
103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-125-131-133-143-145-147-
090240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE GRADY JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAYES
NOBLE NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.