Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 490
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF
WICHITA KANSAS TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AMARILLO TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 485...WW 486...WW
487...WW 488...WW 489...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
FORM ALONG WEAKENING SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING FROM JUST WEST OF ICT
TO NEAR AMA. STRONG INSTABILITY...RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE
RATES...AND FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE
GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS THROUGH THE EVENING.
SOME THREAT ALSO EXISTS FOR THE BOUNDARY TO RETREAT LATER THIS
EVENING...WITH STORMS FORMING TO THE WEST OF INITIAL CONVECTION.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 490 SEVERE TSTM KS OK TX 081940Z - 090300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NE ICT/WICHITA KS/ - 40SE AMA/AMARILLO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /54NE ICT - 35SE AMA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 38259544 34790008 34790237 38259784
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 490 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 490
VALID 090240Z - 090300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW AVK
TO 20 N PNC.
A LOCAL WW EXTENSION IN TIME IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF OK AND TX.
IF THIS DOES NOT OCCUR...WW 490 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
090300Z.
..SMITH..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-099-125-133-090300-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-071-093-129-
149-151-153-090300-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
KAY MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-211-233-295-357-375-381-393-483-090300-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 490
VALID 090145Z - 090240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE GAG
TO 30 NW PNC TO 25 ESE EMP.
..SMITH..06/09/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-035-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-090240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-071-093-129-
149-151-153-090240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
KAY MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-211-233-295-357-375-381-393-483-090240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 490
VALID 082340Z - 090040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/08/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-025-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-115-151-155-173-
191-090040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
CLARK COMANCHE COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN MARION
PRATT RENO SEDGWICK
SUMNER
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-071-093-129-
149-151-153-090040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
KAY MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-211-233-295-357-375-381-393-483-090040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 490
VALID 082120Z - 082240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/08/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-025-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-115-151-155-173-
191-082240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
CLARK COMANCHE COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN MARION
PRATT RENO SEDGWICK
SUMNER
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-071-093-129-
149-151-153-082240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
KAY MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-211-233-295-357-375-381-393-483-082240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 490
VALID 082025Z - 082140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/08/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-025-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-115-151-155-173-
191-082140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
CLARK COMANCHE COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN MARION
PRATT RENO SEDGWICK
SUMNER
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-071-093-129-
149-151-153-082140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
KAY MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-211-233-295-357-375-381-393-483-082140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.