Mesoscale Discussion 0525
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0933 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

   Areas affected...central northeast Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 261433Z - 261700Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered storms are likely to form throughout the day,
   and some are likely to become severe with tornado and large hail
   potential. A watch may be needed by midday.

   DISCUSSION...The morning FWD sounding shows a deep moist layer early
   this morning, with 50 kt winds below 850 mb resulting in strong
   low-level shear. Satellite imagery shows broken to overcast
   conditions over much of central TX, with scattered to broken over
   much of northern TX, leading to areas of heating.

   The very moist air mass is already aiding early development of
   storms between Austin and Stephenville, and indications are that
   this activity will gradually increase during the day beneath a
   persistent low-level jet. This will lead to a long duration of
   moist, unstable and sheared environment, with a few supercells
   likely within the developing cluster of warm sector storms, leading
   to a developing tornado risk as the activity spreads toward
   northeast TX.

   ..Jewell/Hart.. 04/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   31109646 31039777 31339853 31749866 32329848 32719829
               33129802 33729636 33949543 33859483 33749425 33609404
               33349396 32859407 32099463 31799507 31109646