Mesoscale Discussion 0503
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1205 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

   Areas affected...Northern FL and Extreme Southeast GA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 211705Z - 211900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Ongoing cluster of storms could produce a few damaging
   gusts from 45 to 60 mph as it moves across northern Florida and
   extreme southeast Georgia over the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...Small convective cluster currently moving across
   Hamilton and Suwannee Counties in northern FL has shown some signs
   of intensification over the past half hour or so. This is likely a
   result of increased air mass destabilization in tandem with
   gradually strengthening large-scale ascent and mid-level flow
   attendant to an approaching shortwave trough. Some additional
   intensification of this cluster is anticipated, with the potential
   to produce a few damaging gusts from 45 to 60 mph as it moves
   quickly east-northeastward across northern FL and extreme southeast
   GA (i.e. Ware and Charlton Counties). Limited spatial extent of this
   threat will likely preclude the need for a watch, but convective
   trends will be monitored closely.

   ..Mosier/Smith.. 04/21/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30268308 30768240 30798148 30148128 29798254 29938315
               30268308