Mesoscale Discussion 0504
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0245 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

   Areas affected...Southeast GA...Far Northeast FL

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 211945Z - 212145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Ongoing convective line may produce isolated damaging
   gusts from 45 to 60 mph as it continue eastward across southeast
   Georgia and far northeast Florida.

   DISCUSSION...Recent regional radar imagery has shown an increase in
   intensity of the convective line that extends from extreme southern
   SC southwestward across southeast GA, just ahead of a
   southeastward-progressing cold front. Modest buoyancy exists
   downstream of this line, supported by surface temperatures in the
   upper 70s and dewpoints in the mid 60s. Additionally, a shortwave
   trough is moving quickly across the Southeast, contributing to
   increasing large-scale ascent and deep-layer vertical shear across
   the region. These factors are expected to result in maintenance, or
   perhaps even some modest strengthening, of the ongoing line as it
   moves eastward. Primary threat from this line is isolated damaging
   gusts from 45 to 60 mph. Limited spatial extent and intensity of
   this threat is expected to preclude the need for a watch.

   ..Mosier/Smith.. 04/21/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   31608254 32278187 32488103 32208068 31818100 31468115
               31058131 30358141 30298227 30608344 31608254