Mesoscale Discussion 0302
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0317 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

   Areas affected...southwestern through northeastern Louisiana

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 61...

   Valid 252017Z - 252215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 61 continues.

   SUMMARY...More rapid intensification of stronger cells embedded
   within the developing line of storms still appears possible through
   4-6 PM CDT, including the evolution of one or two supercells
   accompanied by increasing risk for tornadoes

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have been slow to substantively intensify
   to this point.  However, a gradual modification of the
   boundary-layer is ongoing, particularly in a narrow corridor in
   advance of the evolving line, southeast of Fort Polk through the
   Alexandria and Monroe vicinities, where surface dew points are
   likely to continue to increase through the mid/upper 60s F.  

   Beneath 50-60 kt southerly flow in the 1-2 km AGL layer, low-level
   hodographs have become large and clockwise curved.  Perhaps with at
   least some further low-level warming, inflow of more unstable air
   may become sufficient to support more rapid intensification of
   stronger cells embedded within the line.  If this occurs, the
   environment is conducive to the evolution of supercells posing a
   risk for tornadoes, possibly including a strong tornado or two.

   ..Kerr.. 03/25/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   30939304 32209230 32799193 32589143 31649180 30709256
               30539321 30939304