Mesoscale Discussion 0173
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0325 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024

   Areas affected...Ohio...Far Southwest Pennsylvania...Northwest West
   Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 280925Z - 281030Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will continue for several hours
   across parts of the Ohio Valley this morning. Wind damage, hail and
   perhaps a brief tornado or two will be possible. A new weather watch
   will need to be issued soon across the region.

   DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from
   Wilmington, Ohio shows a line of organizing storms located from
   southwest Ohio into southwest Indiana. This line is being supported
   by lift associated with a cold front, and shortwave trough evident
   on water vapor imagery. The line will continue to progress
   east-southeastward over the next several hours, with convection
   moving eastward across the remainder of southern Ohio. Weak
   instability, along with about 80 kts of 0-6 km shear, evident on the
   Wilmington, Ohio WSR-88D VWP, will support an isolated severe
   threat. A potential for wind damage and hail will exist with the
   stronger cells embedded in the line. A brief tornado or two will be
   possible, mainly with rotating cells within or ahead of the stronger
   parts of the line.

   ..Broyles/Goss.. 02/28/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

   LAT...LON   39868028 39098085 38468200 38428290 38688331 39318326
               40298333 40778291 40978174 40858039 39868028