Mesoscale Discussion 0129
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1124 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

   Areas affected...Southeast Texas into far west-central Louisiana

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 18...

   Valid 111724Z - 111900Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 18 continues.

   SUMMARY...A supercell south of Lufkin will pose a the greatest risk
   of a tornado as long as it continues to interact favorably with the
   warm front. Development elsewhere in WW 18 is possible, but
   uncertain.

   DISCUSSION...The tornado threat in WW 18 will remain focused ahead
   of supercell currently south of Lufkin, TX. This storm is roughly
   parallel with the warm front which would be the region of greatest
   concern for a tornado. Away from the warm front, low-level shear is
   less impressive. Additional storm development is possible southwest
   of the primary supercell as well as within slowly deepening cumulus
   within the Sabine Valley vicinity. However, this development, or at
   least the timing of it, is not certain.

   ..Wendt.. 02/11/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

   LAT...LON   30149532 30589548 31089479 31199454 31259411 31279352
               30949327 30659337 30349392 30149532