Mesoscale Discussion 0130
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2024

   Areas affected...Central Louisiana into portions of central
   Mississippi

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 20...

   Valid 111947Z - 112145Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 20 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornadoes and very large hail remain possible for storms
   that can mature and interact favorably with the warm front in
   central LA/MS.

   DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms continue to develop within
   the warm sector across parts of central LA/MS. Observations have
   shown the warm front has lifted very near or just north of Jackson,
   MS. Overall mid-level ascent remains weak as the primary synoptic
   trough lags to the west. However, forcing should continue to
   steadily increase this afternoon and evening as the trough moves
   east. It is likely that storms that can initiate will take time to
   mature given the less than optimal background ascent. Storms that
   can mature and interact with the warm front will pose a threat for
   tornadoes, some potentially strong, and very large hail. With the
   warm front slowly lifting north, the southern flank of activity in
   northern/central MS will have the potential to become surface based
   with an attendant increase in severe weather threat.

   ..Wendt.. 02/11/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   30999351 31269321 31489256 31759195 32379105 32549023
               32258985 31349000 30899086 30889097 30539247 30559317
               30739341 30999351