MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2287
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0752 AM CST MON NOV 07 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WRN OK
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 071352Z - 071515Z
   
   WITH THE PRIMARY UPPER IMPULSE JUST NOW TURNING EASTWARD THROUGH
   INTO THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU...LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION
   BENEATH DIFLUENT AND DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN
   FOCUSED ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH AT
   LEAST MID DAY.  MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND
   SOUTHERN PLAINS HAS CONTRIBUTED TO SUFFICIENTLY LARGE CAPE TO
   SUPPORT INCREASINGLY VIGOROUS STORM DEVELOPMENT...IN THE PRESENCE OF
   STRONG SHEAR BENEATH 40-50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW.  THIS
   ENVIRONMENT MAY BE CONDUCIVE TO STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL
   ...SOME OF WHICH COULD OCCASIONALLY APPROACH OR EXCEED SEVERE
   LIMITS.  BUT THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS LIMITED AS ACTIVITY
   REMAINS BASED ABOVE A SIGNIFICANTLY COOL AND STABLE SURFACE BASED
   AIR MASS.
   
   ..KERR.. 11/07/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...LUB...AMA...
   
   LAT...LON   35580245 36520192 36869926 36829821 36719698 36299700
               35749741 35069864 34020009 34390137 35580245