MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2245
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0730 AM CDT MON OCT 10 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NE FL...SE GA
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 865...
   
   VALID 101230Z - 101400Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 865 CONTINUES.
   
   AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SE GA THIS MORNING.
   THE TORNADO THREAT HAS NEARLY ENDED ACROSS NRN FL WHERE WW 865 WILL
   BE CLEARED AT 9 AM LOCAL TIME.
   
   SFC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A 1007 MB LOW NEAR LAKE CITY FL.
   ABUNDANT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS WRAPPING AROUND THE EAST AND NORTH
   SIDE OF THE LOW WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER 70S F AND
   PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE ESTIMATED ABOVE 2.0 INCHES. IN
   ADDITION...A LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED ACROSS SE GA WHICH IS CREATING
   FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES FOR ROTATING STORMS. AS ISOLATED ROTATING
   CELLS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER SE GA AND MOVE INLAND FROM THE NEARBY
   COASTAL WATERS...AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   WW 865. THE SRN EDGE OF THE TORNADO THREAT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED
   ALONG THE GA-FL STATE-LINE AND SHOULD GRADUALLY SHIFT NWD WITH TIME.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 10/10/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...
   
   LAT...LON   31898057 32088105 32208107 32178128 32228144 32178169
               31788198 31958225 31978244 31758256 31218267 31208294
               30928295 30778313 30638311 30628326 30408320 30418292
               30238283 29938283 29808260 29548263 29518220 29428214
               29588184 29438170 29338155 29418144 29608150 29718116
               29488109 29528072 30548104 31088090 31538070 31898057