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Mesoscale Discussion 929 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0929
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CNTRL MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON
VALID 241835Z - 241900Z
A WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT WILL LIKELY EXIST ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL
MO AS AN MCS MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE REGION. WW ISSUANCE IS CURRENTLY
BEING COORDINATED.
A BOWING LINE-SEGMENT IN NW MO IS LOCATED ALONG AN AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY WHERE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 1000 TO
1500 J/KG RANGE. MODERATE INSTABILITY EXTENDS SWD ACROSS WRN MO
WHERE THE NOSE OF A 35 TO 45 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED. AS THE
LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AND MORE DESTABILIZATION OCCURS...THE MCS
SHOULD RIDE SEWD ALONG AN INSTABILITY GRADIENT INTO CNTRL AND ERN MO
WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE
THREAT COULD ALSO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY IF THE BOWING-LINE SEGMENT CAN
ACCELERATE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE.
..BROYLES.. 05/24/2011
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...
LAT...LON 38459083 39229153 40019359 39859463 39099473 38709389
38319288 37839198 37909122 38459083
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