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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Aug 28, 2008
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Print Version | Day 1 Outlook | Day 2 Outlook | Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info
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Please refer to local WFO fire weather forecasts for specific fire
weather watches and red flag warnings.
Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)
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| D3 | Sat, Aug 30, 2008 - Sun, Aug 31, 2008 |
D6 | Tue, Sep 02, 2008 - Wed, Sep 03, 2008 |
| D4 | Sun, Aug 31, 2008 - Mon, Sep 01, 2008 |
D7 | Wed, Sep 03, 2008 - Thu, Sep 04, 2008 |
| D5 | Mon, Sep 01, 2008 - Tue, Sep 02, 2008 |
D8 | Thu, Sep 04, 2008 - Fri, Sep 05, 2008 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
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ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 280917
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0417 AM CDT THU AUG 28 2008
VALID 301200Z - 051200Z
...DISCUSSION...
DURING THE PERIOD SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY /DAYS 3 TO 5/ A HIGH
AMPLITUDE UPPER PATTERN FORMS OVER THE U.S. WITH A STRONG TROUGH
MOVING THROUGH THE WRN STATES AND RIDGING OVER THE ERN CONUS. THE
EXTENDED MODELS AND GEFS ENSEMBLE MAINTAIN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE
LARGE SCALE PATTERN THROUGH SUNDAY /DAY 4/...WITH MORE NOTABLE
DIFFERENCES APPEARING MONDAY /DAY 5/ AND CONTINUING THEREAFTER.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE FAR NWRN CORNER OF THE GREAT BASIN
SATURDAY /DAY 3/...WITH PREFRONTAL CONDITIONS BECOMING POTENTIALLY
CRITICAL /LOW RH...BREEZY/WINDY SWLY WINDS...WARM TEMPERATURES/ FROM
THE NRN GREAT BASIN TO WRN WY. A SEPARATE AREA OF CRITICAL
CONDITIONS COULD FORM OVER THE WRN DAKOTAS/WRN NEBRASKA SATURDAY...
BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE EWD ADVANCEMENT OF A LEE TROUGH/DRY LINE IS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT A CRITICAL AREA AT THIS TIME.
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON /DAY 4/ THE COLD FRONT REACHES THE CNTRL GREAT
BASIN...WITH A CRITICALLY DRY/WINDY AIRMASS EXPECTED OVER THE
CNTRL/SRN GREAT BASIN. NEVADA CYCLOGENESIS MAY RESULT IN
PARTICULARLY STRONG WINDS /SWLY AT OR ABOVE 25 MPH/ FOR SRN NEVADA.
THEREAFTER THE MODELS/ENSEMBLE INDICATE THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL
MAINTAIN A LONGWAVE TROUGH IN THE WEST AND RIDGING IN THE EAST.
HOWEVER THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL DETAILS OF INDIVIDUAL
SHORTWAVES/SURFACE COLD FRONTS IS SUCH THAT PREDICTABILITY IS TOO
LOW TO DELINEATE CRITICAL AREAS AT THIS TIME.
..BRIGHT.. 08/28/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
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