Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Apr 27, 2024
Updated: Sat Apr 27 19:14:03 UTC 2024 (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
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PDF. Note: On February 23, 2021 the Probabilistic Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became operational. Please see the Service Change Notice 20-115 for more details.
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 271911
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 051200Z
Zonal mid-level flow will become established across the CONUS, with
multiple embedded shortwave troughs expected to traverse the
northern half of the CONUS for the upcoming week. During the middle
into late week period, surface lee troughing will encourage dry and
occasionally breezy conditions across the southern High Plains as a
surface cold front sweeps across the northern Rockies into the
Plains.
Guidance consensus shows potential for at least Elevated equivalent
dry and breezy conditions along/behind the surface cold front across
the northern High Plains for Day 4 (Tuesday). However, fuels appear
modestly receptive to fire spread, precluding the addition of
Critical probabilities at this time. Similarly, Elevated equivalent
dry/windy conditions may also accompany the post-dryline environment
over eastern New Mexico into far western Texas. However, questions
remain this far in advance how strong the post-dryline winds will
become, with Critical probabilities withheld for now.
..Squitieri.. 04/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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