Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Mon, Apr 29, 2024 - Tue, Apr 30, 2024 | D6 | Thu, May 02, 2024 - Fri, May 03, 2024 |
| D4 | Tue, Apr 30, 2024 - Wed, May 01, 2024 | D7 | Fri, May 03, 2024 - Sat, May 04, 2024 |
| D5 | Wed, May 01, 2024 - Thu, May 02, 2024 | D8 | Sat, May 04, 2024 - Sun, May 05, 2024 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 271911 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 Valid 291200Z - 051200Z Zonal mid-level flow will become established across the CONUS, with multiple embedded shortwave troughs expected to traverse the northern half of the CONUS for the upcoming week. During the middle into late week period, surface lee troughing will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across the southern High Plains as a surface cold front sweeps across the northern Rockies into the Plains. Guidance consensus shows potential for at least Elevated equivalent dry and breezy conditions along/behind the surface cold front across the northern High Plains for Day 4 (Tuesday). However, fuels appear modestly receptive to fire spread, precluding the addition of Critical probabilities at this time. Similarly, Elevated equivalent dry/windy conditions may also accompany the post-dryline environment over eastern New Mexico into far western Texas. However, questions remain this far in advance how strong the post-dryline winds will become, with Critical probabilities withheld for now. ..Squitieri.. 04/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT