Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 515
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern and Central Arkansas
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 355 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A moist air mass and the remnants of Beryl and its
peripheral strong wind field will overspread the ArkLaTex and
broader Arkansas through tonight, with an increasing tornado
potential into this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles south of Hot Springs AR to 35
miles north northwest of Little Rock AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 514...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 14040.
...Guyer
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 515
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern and Central Arkansas
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 355 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A moist air mass and the remnants of Beryl and its
peripheral strong wind field will overspread the ArkLaTex and
broader Arkansas through tonight, with an increasing tornado
potential into this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles south of Hot Springs AR to 35
miles north northwest of Little Rock AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 514...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 14040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 515 TORNADO AR 082055Z - 090500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
70S HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/ - 35NNW LIT/LITTLE ROCK AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /22WNW ELD - 34NNW LIT/
WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500.MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 14040.
LAT...LON 33459440 35189380 35189114 33459180
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 515 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 515
VALID 090320Z - 090440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..07/09/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 515
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-025-029-039-041-043-045-051-053-059-061-069-
079-085-095-097-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-127-133-145-147-149-
090440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLEVELAND CONWAY
DALLAS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON
LINCOLN LONOKE MONROE
MONTGOMERY OUACHITA PERRY
PIKE POLK PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEVIER WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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