Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 511
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM MDT Sun Jul 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Northeast New Mexico
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and
increase through late afternoon and early evening, initially
including areas near/east of the I-25 corridor across eastern
Colorado and northeast New Mexico. These storms will be capable of
large hail, and severe-wind potential may also increase as storms
cluster into this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Limon
CO to 60 miles south southeast of Raton NM. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Guyer
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 511
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM MDT Sun Jul 7 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Northeast New Mexico
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and
increase through late afternoon and early evening, initially
including areas near/east of the I-25 corridor across eastern
Colorado and northeast New Mexico. These storms will be capable of
large hail, and severe-wind potential may also increase as storms
cluster into this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Limon
CO to 60 miles south southeast of Raton NM. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 511 SEVERE TSTM CO NM 072050Z - 080500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60N LIC/LIMON CO/ - 60SSE RTN/RATON NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /23W AKO - 50NNW TCC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 40130263 35910311 35910507 40130471
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 511 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 511
VALID 080245Z - 080340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W PUB TO
45 NE LAA TO 40 SSE GLD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
..THORNTON..07/08/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-055-071-089-099-101-080340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT HUERFANO
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
KSC071-203-080340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY WICHITA
$$
NMC007-021-033-059-080340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 511
VALID 080045Z - 080140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW COS
TO 10 SW GLD.
..THORNTON..07/08/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-041-055-061-071-073-089-101-080140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN OTERO
PUEBLO
$$
KSC071-199-203-080140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC007-021-033-059-080140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 511
VALID 072335Z - 080040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW COS TO
20 NNE AKO.
..THORNTON..07/07/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-039-041-055-061-063-071-073-089-101-121-080040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
ELBERT EL PASO HUERFANO
KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS
LINCOLN OTERO PUEBLO
WASHINGTON
$$
NMC007-021-033-059-080040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 511
VALID 072250Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..07/07/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-011-017-025-039-041-055-061-063-071-073-087-089-101-
121-072340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BENT
CHEYENNE CROWLEY ELBERT
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
MORGAN OTERO PUEBLO
WASHINGTON
$$
NMC007-021-033-059-072340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.