Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 46
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
North Central Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will develop and track across the
watch area through the late afternoon and evening hours, posing a
risk of very large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or
two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southeast of
Stephenville TX to 45 miles west northwest of Fort Smith AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 42...WW 43...WW 44...WW
45...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 46
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
North Central Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will develop and track across the
watch area through the late afternoon and evening hours, posing a
risk of very large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or
two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southeast of
Stephenville TX to 45 miles west northwest of Fort Smith AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 42...WW 43...WW 44...WW
45...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 46 SEVERE TSTM AR OK TX 142210Z - 150500Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SE SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/ - 45WNW FSM/FORT SMITH AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /24WNW ACT - 43WNW FSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 31809906 35579653 35579369 31809634
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 46 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 46
VALID 150430Z - 150500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S PRX TO
15 NNE FTW TO 40 W GYI TO 30 E DUA TO 20 NW DEQ.
WW 46 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z.
..HART..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC127-150500-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC085-097-119-121-147-181-223-231-277-150500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLIN COOKE DELTA
DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON
HOPKINS HUNT LAMAR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 46
VALID 150310Z - 150440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CRS TO
25 S DAL TO 40 ESE SPS.
..BROYLES..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-150440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
$$
OKC005-013-023-077-079-095-127-135-150440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
LATIMER LE FLORE MARSHALL
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC085-097-119-121-147-181-213-223-231-257-277-379-397-467-
150440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLIN COOKE DELTA
DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON
HENDERSON HOPKINS HUNT
KAUFMAN LAMAR RAINS
ROCKWALL VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 46
VALID 150235Z - 150340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MWL
TO 20 SE ADM TO 25 WNW RKR TO 20 SW FYV.
..BROYLES..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-150340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
$$
OKC005-013-023-077-079-095-127-135-150340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
LATIMER LE FLORE MARSHALL
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-251-257-277-333-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-467-497-
150340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
MILLS NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL TARRANT VAN ZANDT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 46
VALID 150130Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W MWL TO
40 W GYI TO 35 SW MLC TO 25 S MKO TO 25 SSE FYV.
..SQUITIERI..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-150240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
$$
OKC005-013-023-061-069-077-079-095-121-127-135-150240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
HASKELL JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE MARSHALL PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-251-257-277-333-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-467-497-
150240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
MILLS NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL TARRANT VAN ZANDT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 46
VALID 150055Z - 150140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-150140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
$$
OKC005-013-023-029-061-063-069-077-079-091-095-101-121-123-127-
135-150140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL HASKELL HUGHES
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MUSKOGEE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-333-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-467-
497-150140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MILLS NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PARKER RAINS
ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 46
VALID 142335Z - 150040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE SPS TO
15 SSW ADM TO 25 W MKO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 243
..SQUITIERI..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-150040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
$$
OKC005-013-023-029-061-063-069-077-079-091-095-101-121-123-127-
135-150040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL HASKELL HUGHES
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MUSKOGEE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-333-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-467-
497-150040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MILLS NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PARKER RAINS
ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 46
VALID 142255Z - 142340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-142340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-061-063-069-077-079-085-091-095-099-
101-107-111-121-123-127-133-135-142340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY
MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-
467-497-142340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MILLS MONTAGUE
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL SOMERVELL
TARRANT VAN ZANDT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.