Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 502
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Western Kansas
Southwest Nebraska
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 330 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing over eastern Colorado will spread
eastward this evening into western Kansas. Locally damaging wind
gusts are expected to be the main threat with these storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Mccook NE to 20 miles south of Springfield CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 501...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 502 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 032130Z - 040300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40WNW MCK/MCCOOK NE/ - 20S SPD/SPRINGFIELD CO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /34WNW MCK - 50ESE TBE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 40419976 36980117 36980407 40410280
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 502 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 502
VALID 040230Z - 040300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW GCK
TO 50 SE GLD TO 25 NE MCK.
WW 502 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 040300Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1531.
..GRAMS..07/04/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-063-065-101-137-171-179-040300-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM
LANE NORTON SCOTT
SHERIDAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 502
VALID 040135Z - 040240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E EHA TO
30 SW ITR TO 15 NNW MCK.
..GRAMS..07/04/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-040240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE
$$
KSC039-055-063-065-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-137-153-171-175-
179-181-189-193-199-203-040240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR FINNEY GOVE
GRAHAM GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY
LANE LOGAN NORTON
RAWLINS SCOTT SEWARD
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC065-145-040240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FURNAS RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 502
VALID 040030Z - 040140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW CAO TO
40 S LHX TO 15 ESE PUB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1530
..MOORE..07/04/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-061-063-089-099-125-040140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON
OTERO PROWERS YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-065-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-137-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-040140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRAHAM GRANT
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MORTON NORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-040140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 502
VALID 032330Z - 040040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW CAO TO
40 S LHX TO 15 ESE PUB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1527
..MOORE..07/03/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-061-063-089-099-125-040040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON
OTERO PROWERS YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-065-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-137-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-040040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRAHAM GRANT
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MORTON NORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-040040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 502
VALID 032230Z - 032340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..07/03/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-061-063-071-089-099-125-032340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-065-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-137-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-032340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRAHAM GRANT
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MORTON NORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-032340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.