Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 406
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Minnesota
Northwest Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday evening from 655 PM until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Several supercells will continue east-southeast and
traverse a moist/unstable airmass in an environment with increasing
low-level shear. Large to very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter),
damaging gusts, and a couple of tornadoes are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Saint
Cloud MN to 100 miles east northeast of Saint Cloud MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 405...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28030.
...Smith
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 406
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Minnesota
Northwest Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday evening from 655 PM until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Several supercells will continue east-southeast and
traverse a moist/unstable airmass in an environment with increasing
low-level shear. Large to very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter),
damaging gusts, and a couple of tornadoes are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Saint
Cloud MN to 100 miles east northeast of Saint Cloud MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 405...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28030.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 406 TORNADO MN WI 122355Z - 130300Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45WNW STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/ - 100ENE STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /50SW BRD - 43S DLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 46459491 46749212 45449212 45149491
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 406 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 406
VALID 130145Z - 130240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S STC TO
20 NNW STC TO 25 WNW DLH.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1244
..WEINMAN..06/13/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 406
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-017-025-059-065-095-115-141-130240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON CARLTON
CHISAGO ISANTI KANABEC
MILLE LACS PINE SHERBURNE
$$
WIC013-095-130240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURNETT POLK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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