Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 19
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southeast Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Central Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1135 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Elevated supercells will spread eastward from southeast
Arkansas and northeast Louisiana into Mississippi through the
afternoon. Large hail (1-2" diameter) will be the main threat,
though isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph will also be possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles southwest of
Greenville MS to 10 miles east of Columbus MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17...WW 18...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 19
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southeast Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Central Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1135 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Elevated supercells will spread eastward from southeast
Arkansas and northeast Louisiana into Mississippi through the
afternoon. Large hail (1-2" diameter) will be the main threat,
though isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph will also be possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles southwest of
Greenville MS to 10 miles east of Columbus MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17...WW 18...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 19 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 111735Z - 120000Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
80SW GLH/GREENVILLE MS/ - 10E CBM/COLUMBUS MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /9NNE MLU - 15NE IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 33239195 34218828 33058828 32079195
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 19 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 19
VALID 112230Z - 112340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W MLU TO
55 SW CBM TO 25 NW TCL.
..MOORE..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC065-083-112340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON RICHLAND
$$
MSC103-159-112340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NOXUBEE WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 19
VALID 112140Z - 112240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW MLU TO
55 ESE GWO TO 20 NE TUP.
..MOORE..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC065-083-112240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON RICHLAND
$$
MSC025-087-103-105-159-112240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY LOWNDES NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 19
VALID 112040Z - 112140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W MLU TO
55 SSE GLH TO 20 SE GWO TO 15 S UOX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 131
..MOORE..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC065-083-112140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON RICHLAND
$$
MSC007-019-025-051-087-097-103-105-155-159-163-112140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CHOCTAW CLAY
HOLMES LOWNDES MONTGOMERY
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 19
VALID 112040Z - 112140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W MLU TO
55 SSE GLH TO 20 SE GWO TO 15 S UOX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 131
..MOORE..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC065-083-112140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON RICHLAND
$$
MSC007-019-025-051-087-097-103-105-155-159-163-112140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CHOCTAW CLAY
HOLMES LOWNDES MONTGOMERY
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 19
VALID 111940Z - 112040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MLU TO
50 ENE MLU TO 20 WSW UOX.
..MOORE..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC065-083-112040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON RICHLAND
$$
MSC007-015-019-025-043-051-053-055-083-087-097-103-105-125-155-
159-163-112040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW
CLAY GRENADA HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA LEFLORE
LOWNDES MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA SHARKEY WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 19
VALID 111830Z - 111940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W MLU TO
60 NNE GLH.
..MOORE..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-111940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC035-065-067-083-123-111940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC007-011-015-019-025-043-051-053-055-083-087-097-103-105-125-
133-151-155-159-163-111940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
LEFLORE LOWNDES MONTGOMERY
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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