Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 714
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Arkansas
Western and Central Kentucky
Northern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1135 AM until
700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
and increase through early afternoon near an eastward-moving cold
front, with additional/more isolated development also possible ahead
of it later this afternoon. Increasingly low-level moisture and
strong shear will support the potential for severe storms including
a few tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Bowling Green KY to 5
miles east southeast of Monticello AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Guyer
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 714
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Arkansas
Western and Central Kentucky
Northern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1135 AM until
700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
and increase through early afternoon near an eastward-moving cold
front, with additional/more isolated development also possible ahead
of it later this afternoon. Increasingly low-level moisture and
strong shear will support the potential for severe storms including
a few tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Bowling Green KY to 5
miles east southeast of Monticello AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 714 TORNADO AR KY MS TN 091735Z - 100100Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30N BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 5ESE LLQ/MONTICELLO AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /28N BWG - 58ENE ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 37398487 33599019 33599315 37398797
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 714 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 714
VALID 092330Z - 100100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE GLH
TO 55 S CKV TO 45 NNE BWG.
WW 714 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100100Z.
..SQUITIERI..12/09/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 714
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC003-009-061-087-093-099-123-169-171-227-100100-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN EDMONSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
LARUE METCALFE MONROE
WARREN
$$
MSC003-117-141-145-100100-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN PRENTISS TISHOMINGO
UNION
$$
TNC021-037-071-081-099-101-111-119-149-159-165-169-181-187-189-
100100-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM DAVIDSON HARDIN
HICKMAN LAWRENCE LEWIS
MACON MAURY RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
WAYNE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 714
VALID 092215Z - 092340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE LLQ
TO 20 N UOX TO 50 ENE MKL TO 45 S SDF.
..SQUITIERI..12/09/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 714
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC041-092340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESHA
$$
KYC003-009-061-087-093-099-123-141-169-171-213-227-092340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN EDMONSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
LARUE LOGAN METCALFE
MONROE SIMPSON WARREN
$$
MSC003-009-011-071-093-107-117-139-141-145-092340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
LAFAYETTE MARSHALL PANOLA
PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION
$$
TNC021-023-037-039-043-071-077-081-085-099-101-109-111-119-135-
147-149-159-165-169-181-187-189-092340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM CHESTER DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON HARDIN
HENDERSON HICKMAN HUMPHREYS
LAWRENCE LEWIS MCNAIRY
MACON MAURY PERRY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SMITH
SUMNER TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 714
VALID 092115Z - 092240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW LLQ
TO 40 NNW GLH TO 20 NE MKL TO 20 NE CKV TO 45 NNE BWG.
..SQUITIERI..12/09/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 714
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-041-043-092240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY DESHA DREW
$$
KYC003-009-061-087-093-099-123-141-169-171-213-219-227-092240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN EDMONSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
LARUE LOGAN METCALFE
MONROE SIMPSON TODD
WARREN
$$
MSC003-009-011-033-071-093-107-117-119-137-139-141-145-092240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA PRENTISS QUITMAN
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-037-039-043-047-069-071-077-081-083-085-099-
101-109-111-113-119-125-135-147-149-159-165-169-181-187-189-
092240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER DAVIDSON DECATUR
DICKSON FAYETTE HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE
LEWIS MCNAIRY MACON
MADISON MAURY MONTGOMERY
PERRY ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
WAYNE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 714
VALID 092015Z - 092140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE ELD TO
60 WSW MEM TO 30 NNE MKL TO 20 NNE HOP TO 15 SSW OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2305
..SQUITIERI..12/09/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 714
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-041-043-079-107-092140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY DESHA
DREW LINCOLN PHILLIPS
$$
KYC003-009-031-061-085-087-093-099-123-141-169-171-177-183-213-
219-227-092140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BUTLER
EDMONSON GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HART LARUE
LOGAN METCALFE MONROE
MUHLENBERG OHIO SIMPSON
TODD WARREN
$$
MSC003-009-011-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-137-139-141-143-145-
092140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
COAHOMA DESOTO LAFAYETTE
MARSHALL PANOLA PRENTISS
QUITMAN TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-047-069-071-075-077-079-081-
083-085-099-101-109-111-113-119-125-135-147-149-157-159-161-165-
169-181-187-189-092140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON FAYETTE
HARDEMAN HARDIN HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE
LEWIS MCNAIRY MACON
MADISON MAURY MONTGOMERY
PERRY ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SHELBY SMITH STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 714
VALID 091915Z - 092040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S JBR TO
40 ENE DYR TO 35 W HOP TO 40 NNW HOP TO 20 SW OWB.
..SQUITIERI..12/09/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 714
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-025-035-039-041-043-069-077-079-095-103-107-123-
092040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLEVELAND CRITTENDEN DALLAS
DESHA DREW JEFFERSON
LEE LINCOLN MONROE
OUACHITA PHILLIPS ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC003-009-031-047-061-085-087-093-099-107-123-141-169-171-177-
183-213-219-221-227-092040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BUTLER
CHRISTIAN EDMONSON GRAYSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
HOPKINS LARUE LOGAN
METCALFE MONROE MUHLENBERG
OHIO SIMPSON TODD
TRIGG WARREN
$$
MSC003-009-011-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-137-139-141-143-145-
092040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
COAHOMA DESOTO LAFAYETTE
MARSHALL PANOLA PRENTISS
QUITMAN TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-
081-083-085-097-099-101-109-111-113-119-125-135-147-149-157-159-
161-165-167-169-181-187-189-092040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON FAYETTE
GIBSON HARDEMAN HARDIN
HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEWIS
MCNAIRY MACON MADISON
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SHELBY
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TIPTON TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.