Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 72
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop across the region and
intensify through late afternoon and early evening, with these
storms focused along and to the north of a southeastward-moving cold
front. Large hail should be the most common severe hazard (aside
from locally heavy rainfall), but locally damaging winds and perhaps
a brief tornado could also occur with any storms near/south of the
cold front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north
northwest of Fayetteville AR to 40 miles southeast of Fort Leonard
Wood MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated
watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 71...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Guyer
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 72
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop across the region and
intensify through late afternoon and early evening, with these
storms focused along and to the north of a southeastward-moving cold
front. Large hail should be the most common severe hazard (aside
from locally heavy rainfall), but locally damaging winds and perhaps
a brief tornado could also occur with any storms near/south of the
cold front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north
northwest of Fayetteville AR to 40 miles southeast of Fort Leonard
Wood MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated
watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 71...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 72 SEVERE TSTM AR MO 232045Z - 240400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NNW FYV/FAYETTEVILLE AR/ - 40SE TBN/FORT LEONARD WOOD MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /9W RZC - 69WSW FAM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 37219431 38289162 36409162 35339431
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 72 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 72
VALID 240320Z - 240400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW FYV
TO 40 SE TBN.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 72 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
24/04Z.
..KERR..03/24/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-015-033-047-071-087-089-101-131-143-240400-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON
MADISON MARION NEWTON
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC067-091-149-153-203-213-240400-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DOUGLAS HOWELL OREGON
OZARK SHANNON TANEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 72
VALID 240230Z - 240340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW FYV
TO 40 SE TBN.
..KERR..03/24/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-015-033-047-071-087-089-101-131-143-240340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON
MADISON MARION NEWTON
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC067-091-149-153-203-213-240340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DOUGLAS HOWELL OREGON
OZARK SHANNON TANEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 72
VALID 240130Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E GMJ TO
35 ESE TBN.
..KERR..03/24/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-071-087-089-101-131-143-240240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
JOHNSON MADISON MARION
NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-043-065-067-091-149-153-203-209-213-215-229-240240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL OREGON
OZARK SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 72
VALID 240025Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E GMJ TO
35 ESE TBN.
..KERR..03/24/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-071-087-089-101-131-143-240140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
JOHNSON MADISON MARION
NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-043-065-067-091-149-153-203-209-213-215-229-240140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL OREGON
OZARK SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 72
VALID 232340Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW UMN
TO 20 SE VIH.
..KERR..03/23/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-071-087-089-101-131-143-240040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
JOHNSON MADISON MARION
NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-043-065-067-091-119-149-153-203-209-213-215-225-229-
240040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL MCDONALD
OREGON OZARK SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 72
VALID 232235Z - 232340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..03/23/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-071-087-089-101-131-143-232340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
JOHNSON MADISON MARION
NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-043-057-059-065-067-077-091-097-105-109-119-145-149-153-
161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-232340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HOWELL JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NEWTON OREGON OZARK
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.