Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 59
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Western and Northern Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1150 PM
until 800 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms should continue to pose a threat
for damaging winds and tornadoes as it moves east-northeastward this
morning.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Jonesboro AR
to 20 miles southeast of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 57...WW 58...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.
...Gleason/Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 59 TORNADO AR LA MS TN 030550Z - 031400Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15ENE JBR/JONESBORO AR/ - 20SE IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /29ESE ARG - 25NW AEX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT...LON 35918906 31539159 31539413 35919174
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 59 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 59
VALID 031005Z - 031140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE POE
TO 35 NNW MLU TO 30 ENE PBF TO 50 SSW JBR TO 5 ESE ARG.
..LEITMAN..03/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-017-031-035-037-041-043-077-093-095-107-111-123-
031140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY CHICOT
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DESHA DREW LEE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE PHILLIPS
POINSETT ST. FRANCIS
$$
LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-065-067-073-083-107-111-123-
127-031140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE MADISON
MOREHOUSE OUACHITA RICHLAND
TENSAS UNION WEST CARROLL
WINN
$$
MSC011-027-033-053-055-083-107-119-125-133-135-137-143-151-
031140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR COAHOMA DESOTO
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA LEFLORE
PANOLA QUITMAN SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TUNICA WASHINGTON
$$
TNC097-157-167-031140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAUDERDALE SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 59
VALID 030730Z - 030840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE LFK
TO 35 ESE SHV TO 45 SSE HOT TO 10 WSW LIT TO 25 N LIT.
..LEITMAN..03/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-031-035-037-039-041-043-053-067-069-
077-079-085-093-095-103-107-111-117-119-123-139-145-147-
030840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS DESHA DREW
GRANT JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE OUACHITA
PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI ST. FRANCIS UNION
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-021-025-027-029-031-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-
073-081-083-085-107-111-123-127-030840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA DE SOTO
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND
SABINE TENSAS UNION
WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC011-027-033-053-055-083-107-119-125-133-135-137-143-151-
030840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR COAHOMA DESOTO
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA LEFLORE
PANOLA QUITMAN SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TUNICA WASHINGTON
$$
TNC097-157-167-030840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAUDERDALE SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.