Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 586
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central to northeast Louisiana
Southwest to central Mississippi
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1140 PM
until 600 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...A slow-moving line of thunderstorms will sag
east-southeast through daybreak. Discrete supercells ahead of this
line will pose the greatest threat for tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles southwest of Natchez MS to
170 miles northeast of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 584...WW 585...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 586 TORNADO LA MS 140540Z - 141200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SW HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/ - 170NE HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /40E AEX - 36WSW IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 31989172 34078922 32628922 30549172
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 586 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 586
VALID 140940Z - 141040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE ESF
TO 10 NE HEZ TO 55 NE HEZ TO 40 SSE GWO TO 30 WNW CBM.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 586
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-037-077-125-141040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA POINTE COUPEE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-019-021-029-037-049-051-063-077-079-085-089-099-
101-113-121-123-127-129-149-157-159-163-141040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE COPIAH
FRANKLIN HINDS HOLMES
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN MADISON NESHOBA
NEWTON PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WILKINSON WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 586
VALID 140840Z - 140940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE ESF
TO 35 NNE HEZ TO 30 ESE GWO TO 35 SW TUP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2027.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 586
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-037-077-107-125-140940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
POINTE COUPEE TENSAS WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-019-021-029-037-049-051-063-077-079-085-089-097-
099-101-113-121-123-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-140940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE COPIAH
FRANKLIN HINDS HOLMES
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN MADISON MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON PIKE
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH WARREN WEBSTER
WILKINSON WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 586
VALID 140735Z - 140840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE ESF
TO 40 N HEZ TO 50 SSW GWO TO 30 S UOX.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 586
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-037-065-077-107-125-140840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
MADISON POINTE COUPEE TENSAS
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-029-037-043-049-051-063-077-079-085-
089-097-099-101-113-121-123-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-
140840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 586
VALID 140640Z - 140740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 586
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-037-041-065-077-107-125-140740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN MADISON POINTE COUPEE
TENSAS WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-029-037-043-049-051-063-077-079-085-
089-097-099-101-113-121-123-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-
140740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 586
VALID 140640Z - 140740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 586
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-037-041-065-077-107-125-140740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN MADISON POINTE COUPEE
TENSAS WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-029-037-043-049-051-063-077-079-085-
089-097-099-101-113-121-123-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-
140740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 586
VALID 140545Z - 140640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 586
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-037-041-065-077-107-125-140640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN MADISON POINTE COUPEE
TENSAS WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-029-037-043-049-051-063-077-079-085-
089-097-099-101-113-121-123-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-
140640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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