Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 444
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM MDT Wed Jul 6 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast and east-central Colorado
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 210 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A few slow-moving supercells may eventually consolidate
into an eastward-propagating cluster this evening. A mix of mainly
isolated severe hail and wind is expected.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northwest
of Akron CO to 50 miles south of Limon CO. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 442...WW 443...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28015.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 444 SEVERE TSTM CO 062010Z - 070300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NNW AKO/AKRON CO/ - 50S LIC/LIMON CO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /32WSW SNY - 39ENE PUB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.
LAT...LON 40970222 38540228 38540506 40970510
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 444 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 444
VALID 070145Z - 070300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW LAA
TO 40 NE LIC TO 35 W IML.
WW 444 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 070300Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1408
..SMITH..07/07/22
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 444
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-061-063-121-125-070300-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIOWA KIT CARSON
WASHINGTON YUMA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 444
VALID 070030Z - 070130Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW COS
TO 10 S LIC TO 30 WNW AKO TO 5 S SNY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1405
..SMITH..07/07/22
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 444
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-025-061-063-073-075-087-095-101-115-121-125-070130-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA
KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN
MORGAN PHILLIPS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 444
VALID 062335Z - 070040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1405.
..LEITMAN..07/06/22
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 444
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-017-031-035-039-041-063-073-075-087-095-115-119-121-
123-125-070040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE
DENVER DOUGLAS ELBERT
EL PASO KIT CARSON LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK TELLER WASHINGTON
WELD YUMA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 444
VALID 062250Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..07/06/22
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 444
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-017-031-035-039-041-063-073-075-087-095-115-119-121-
123-125-062340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE
DENVER DOUGLAS ELBERT
EL PASO KIT CARSON LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK TELLER WASHINGTON
WELD YUMA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 444
VALID 062135Z - 062240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..07/06/22
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 444
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-017-031-035-039-041-063-073-075-087-095-115-119-121-
123-125-062240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE
DENVER DOUGLAS ELBERT
EL PASO KIT CARSON LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK TELLER WASHINGTON
WELD YUMA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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