Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 283
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and Eastern Iowa
Western Illinois
Northern Missouri
Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1005 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe storm development
are expected late this evening including across southern Iowa as
well as southeast Nebraska into northern Missouri. The strongest
storms will be capable of large hail. Damaging winds will also be a
possibility, particularly if a well-organized linear cluster evolves
through the early overnight hours as storms spread
east-southeastward across the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west of
Shenandoah IA to 30 miles east southeast of Burlington IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW 282...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 283
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and Eastern Iowa
Western Illinois
Northern Missouri
Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1005 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe storm development
are expected late this evening including across southern Iowa as
well as southeast Nebraska into northern Missouri. The strongest
storms will be capable of large hail. Damaging winds will also be a
possibility, particularly if a well-organized linear cluster evolves
through the early overnight hours as storms spread
east-southeastward across the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west of
Shenandoah IA to 30 miles east southeast of Burlington IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW 282...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 283 SEVERE TSTM IA IL MO NE 190305Z - 191000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25W SDA/SHENANDOAH IA/ - 30ESE BRL/BURLINGTON IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /26SSW OVR - 55NE UIN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 41699590 41559060 39669060 39819590
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 283 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 283
VALID 190630Z - 190740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S FNB TO
10 SSE OMA TO 45 ESE DNS.
..BROYLES..06/19/21
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-067-071-073-109-131-149-155-161-187-190740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
MCDONOUGH MERCER PIKE
PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND WARREN
$$
IAC001-003-007-029-031-039-051-053-057-071-087-095-101-103-107-
111-115-117-121-123-125-129-135-137-139-145-159-163-173-175-177-
179-181-183-185-190740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
CASS CEDAR CLARKE
DAVIS DECATUR DES MOINES
FREMONT HENRY IOWA
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEOKUK
LEE LOUISA LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MILLS MONROE MONTGOMERY
MUSCATINE PAGE RINGGOLD
SCOTT TAYLOR UNION
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-103-111-115-117-121-
127-129-147-171-197-199-205-211-227-190740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT KNOX LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 283
VALID 190530Z - 190640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/19/21
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-067-071-073-109-131-149-155-161-187-190640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
MCDONOUGH MERCER PIKE
PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND WARREN
$$
IAC001-003-007-029-031-039-051-053-057-071-087-095-101-103-107-
111-115-117-121-123-125-129-135-137-139-145-159-163-173-175-177-
179-181-183-185-190640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
CASS CEDAR CLARKE
DAVIS DECATUR DES MOINES
FREMONT HENRY IOWA
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEOKUK
LEE LOUISA LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MILLS MONROE MONTGOMERY
MUSCATINE PAGE RINGGOLD
SCOTT TAYLOR UNION
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-103-111-115-117-121-
127-129-147-171-197-199-205-211-227-190640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT KNOX LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 283
VALID 190420Z - 190540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..06/19/21
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-067-071-073-109-131-149-155-161-187-190540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
MCDONOUGH MERCER PIKE
PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND WARREN
$$
IAC001-003-007-029-031-039-051-053-057-071-087-095-101-103-107-
111-115-117-121-123-125-129-135-137-139-145-159-163-173-175-177-
179-181-183-185-190540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
CASS CEDAR CLARKE
DAVIS DECATUR DES MOINES
FREMONT HENRY IOWA
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEOKUK
LEE LOUISA LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MILLS MONROE MONTGOMERY
MUSCATINE PAGE RINGGOLD
SCOTT TAYLOR UNION
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-103-111-115-117-121-
127-129-147-171-197-199-205-211-227-190540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT KNOX LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC097-127-133-147-190540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON NEMAHA PAWNEE
RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.