SEL9

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   430 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     East-central New Mexico
     Oklahoma Panhandle
     Texas Panhandle

   * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 430 PM until
     1100 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
       mph possible
     Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Initial discrete cells across east-central New Mexico
   should consolidate into a modestly organized cluster with severe
   wind and hail as the primary hazards.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
   statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of
   Guymon OK to 50 miles west southwest of Plainview TX. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   26030.

   ...Grams

   SEL9

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   430 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     East-central New Mexico
     Oklahoma Panhandle
     Texas Panhandle

   * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 430 PM until
     1100 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
       mph possible
     Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Initial discrete cells across east-central New Mexico
   should consolidate into a modestly organized cluster with severe
   wind and hail as the primary hazards.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
   statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of
   Guymon OK to 50 miles west southwest of Plainview TX. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   26030.

   ...Grams

   WOUS64 KWNS 142125
   WOU9

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 169
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   430 PM CDT FRI MAY 14 2021

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 169 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   NMC009-037-041-150400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0169.210514T2130Z-210515T0400Z/

   NM 
   .    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   CURRY                QUAY                ROOSEVELT           


   OKC007-025-139-150400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0169.210514T2130Z-210515T0400Z/

   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BEAVER               CIMARRON            TEXAS               


   TXC011-017-045-065-069-111-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-205-233-
   279-341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-150400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0169.210514T2130Z-210515T0400Z/

   TX 
   .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ARMSTRONG            BAILEY              BRISCOE             
   CARSON               CASTRO              DALLAM              
   DEAF SMITH           DONLEY              FLOYD               
   GRAY                 HALE                HALL                
   HANSFORD             HARTLEY             HUTCHINSON          
   LAMB                 MOORE               OCHILTREE           
   OLDHAM               PARMER              POTTER              
   RANDALL              ROBERTS             SHERMAN             
   SWISHER              


   ATTN...WFO...ABQ...LUB...AMA...

   SAW9 
   WW 169 SEVERE TSTM NM OK TX 142130Z - 150400Z
   AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   35NE GUY/GUYMON OK/ - 50WSW PVW/PLAINVIEW TX/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /4W LBL - 32WNW LBB/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.

   LAT...LON 37039969 33880122 33880383 37030241

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.

Watch 169 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 169

VALID 150325Z - 150400Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W LBB TO
35 WSW PVW TO 50 E BGD TO 55 WNW CSM.

WW 169 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150400Z.

..DEAN..05/15/21

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC011-017-045-129-153-179-189-191-279-437-150400-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARMSTRONG	     BAILEY		 BRISCOE	     
DONLEY		     FLOYD		 GRAY		     
HALE		     HALL		 LAMB		     
SWISHER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 169

VALID 150250Z - 150340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE CVS TO
50 E BGD TO 55 WNW CSM.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 616

..DEAN..05/15/21

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC011-017-045-129-153-179-189-191-279-437-150340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARMSTRONG	     BAILEY		 BRISCOE	     
DONLEY		     FLOYD		 GRAY		     
HALE		     HALL		 LAMB		     
SWISHER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 169

VALID 150155Z - 150240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE CVS TO
40 E CVS TO 15 SSW AMA TO 5 ENE BGD TO 25 NNE BGD TO 20 SSW EHA
TO 25 NNW EHA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 616

..DEAN..05/15/21

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC007-139-150240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     TEXAS		 
$$


TXC011-017-045-065-069-129-153-179-189-191-195-233-279-357-381-
393-437-150240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARMSTRONG	     BAILEY		 BRISCOE	     
CARSON		     CASTRO		 DONLEY 	     
FLOYD		     GRAY		 HALE		     
HALL		     HANSFORD		 HUTCHINSON	     
LAMB		     OCHILTREE		 RANDALL	     
ROBERTS 	     SWISHER		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 169

VALID 150025Z - 150140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CVS
TO 20 ESE CVS TO 35 SE DHT TO 15 NW EHA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 613

..DEAN..05/15/21

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC007-025-139-150140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     CIMARRON		 TEXAS		     
$$


TXC011-017-045-065-069-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-233-279-341-
357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-150140-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARMSTRONG	     BAILEY		 BRISCOE	     
CARSON		     CASTRO		 DEAF SMITH	     
DONLEY		     FLOYD		 GRAY		     
HALE		     HALL		 HANSFORD	     
HUTCHINSON	     LAMB		 MOORE		     
OCHILTREE	     OLDHAM		 PARMER 	     
POTTER		     RANDALL		 ROBERTS	     
SHERMAN 	     SWISHER		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 169

VALID 142340Z - 150040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N HOB TO
30 SSW DHT TO 20 ESE SPD.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 613

..DEAN..05/14/21

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC007-025-139-150040-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     CIMARRON		 TEXAS		     
$$


TXC011-017-045-065-069-111-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-205-233-
279-341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-150040-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARMSTRONG	     BAILEY		 BRISCOE	     
CARSON		     CASTRO		 DALLAM 	     
DEAF SMITH	     DONLEY		 FLOYD		     
GRAY		     HALE		 HALL		     
HANSFORD	     HARTLEY		 HUTCHINSON	     
LAMB		     MOORE		 OCHILTREE	     
OLDHAM		     PARMER		 POTTER 	     
RANDALL 	     ROBERTS		 SHERMAN	     
SWISHER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 169

VALID 142235Z - 142340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..DEAN..05/14/21

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC009-037-041-142340-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CURRY		     QUAY		 ROOSEVELT	     
$$


OKC007-025-139-142340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     CIMARRON		 TEXAS		     
$$


TXC011-017-045-065-069-111-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-205-233-
279-341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-142340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARMSTRONG	     BAILEY		 BRISCOE	     
CARSON		     CASTRO		 DALLAM 	     
DEAF SMITH	     DONLEY		 FLOYD		     
GRAY		     HALE		 HALL		     
HANSFORD	     HARTLEY		 HUTCHINSON	     
LAMB		     MOORE		 OCHILTREE	     
OLDHAM		     PARMER		 POTTER 	     
RANDALL 	     ROBERTS		 SHERMAN	     
SWISHER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.