Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 168
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
815 AM EDT Wed May 12 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Alabama
Northern Florida
Southwest Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 815 AM
until 200 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster of storms will continue eastward
today across southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle toward
southern Georgia and additional parts of northern Florida, with
additional development possible later today near a
southward-advancing cold front. Isolated damaging winds are expected
to be the most common hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Panama City FL to 20 miles south of Valdosta GA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Guyer
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 168
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
815 AM EDT Wed May 12 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Alabama
Northern Florida
Southwest Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 815 AM
until 200 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster of storms will continue eastward
today across southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle toward
southern Georgia and additional parts of northern Florida, with
additional development possible later today near a
southward-advancing cold front. Isolated damaging winds are expected
to be the most common hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Panama City FL to 20 miles south of Valdosta GA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 168 SEVERE TSTM AL FL GA CW 121215Z - 121800Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50NW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 20S VLD/VALDOSTA GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /22ESE CEW - 55NNW CTY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 31608628 31368328 29628328 29868628
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 168 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 168
VALID 121730Z - 121800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW PFN TO
25 N AAF TO 25 NNE TLH TO 45 NNE MGR.
WW 168 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 121800Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 604
..MOORE..05/12/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-045-065-073-077-079-123-129-121800-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GULF JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC019-027-075-173-185-275-277-121800-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BROOKS COOK
LANIER LOWNDES THOMAS
TIFT
$$
GMZ730-752-755-121800-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 168
VALID 121640Z - 121740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW PFN
TO 15 NE PFN TO 10 NNE MAI TO 40 WNW ABY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 604
..MOORE..05/12/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-121740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC007-019-027-037-071-075-087-095-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-
275-277-321-121740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BERRIEN BROOKS
CALHOUN COLQUITT COOK
DECATUR DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY LANIER LOWNDES
MILLER MITCHELL SEMINOLE
THOMAS TIFT WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-752-755-121740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 168
VALID 121555Z - 121640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PNS TO
25 WNW MAI TO 25 NW ABY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 603
..MOORE..05/12/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-121640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-121640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-019-027-037-071-075-087-095-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-
275-277-321-121640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BERRIEN BROOKS
CALHOUN COLQUITT COOK
DECATUR DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY LANIER LOWNDES
MILLER MITCHELL SEMINOLE
THOMAS TIFT WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-752-755-121640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 168
VALID 121430Z - 121540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW CEW
TO 35 N PFN TO 15 NW MAI TO 25 ENE DHN TO 40 S CSG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 603
..MOORE..05/12/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-121540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-121540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-173-185-201-205-
253-275-277-321-121540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BERRIEN BROOKS
CALHOUN CLAY COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY GRADY LANIER
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
SEMINOLE THOMAS TIFT
WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-752-755-121540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 168
VALID 121430Z - 121540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW CEW
TO 35 N PFN TO 15 NW MAI TO 25 ENE DHN TO 40 S CSG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 603
..MOORE..05/12/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-121540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-121540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-173-185-201-205-
253-275-277-321-121540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BERRIEN BROOKS
CALHOUN CLAY COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY GRADY LANIER
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
SEMINOLE THOMAS TIFT
WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-752-755-121540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 168
VALID 121335Z - 121440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S CEW TO
35 NNW PFN TO 25 SW DHN TO 35 ENE TOI.
..MOORE..05/12/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-069-121440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-121440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-173-185-201-205-
253-275-277-321-121440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BERRIEN BROOKS
CALHOUN CLAY COLQUITT
COOK DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY GRADY LANIER
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
SEMINOLE THOMAS TIFT
WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-752-755-121440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.