Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 115
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
825 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
Western and Northern Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 825 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will continue to move
east-northeastward across northern Texas and southern Oklahoma this
evening, with additional storm development occurring across west
Texas into the overnight. Damaging winds and severe hail are the
primary concerns, but a tornado could occur as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Ardmore OK to 30 miles southeast of Midland TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Guyer
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 115
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
825 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
Western and Northern Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 825 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will continue to move
east-northeastward across northern Texas and southern Oklahoma this
evening, with additional storm development occurring across west
Texas into the overnight. Damaging winds and severe hail are the
primary concerns, but a tornado could occur as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Ardmore OK to 30 miles southeast of Midland TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 115 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 280125Z - 280800Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW ADM/ARDMORE OK/ - 30SE MAF/MIDLAND TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /37S OKC - 29SE MAF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 34749635 31640065 31640303 34749881
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 115 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 115
VALID 280655Z - 280740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N INK TO
20 NNW MAF TO 35 NNW BGS TO 55 ESE LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 445
..JEWELL..04/28/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-027-031-033-049-067-069-085-087-095-099-123-125-133-137-
141-280740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LOVE MCCLAIN
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-033-077-081-103-115-135-151-173-207-227-237-253-263-
275-317-329-335-337-353-371-383-415-417-431-433-441-447-461-485-
487-503-280740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CLAY COKE CRANE
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
JACK JONES KENT
KNOX MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL MONTAGUE NOLAN
PECOS REAGAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON UPTON
WICHITA WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 115
VALID 280555Z - 280640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/28/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-031-033-049-067-069-085-095-099-123-137-141-280640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC STEPHENS TILLMAN
$$
TXC003-009-023-033-077-081-115-135-151-165-173-207-227-237-253-
263-275-317-329-335-337-353-415-417-431-433-441-447-485-487-503-
280640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARCHER BAYLOR
BORDEN CLAY COKE
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KNOX MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 115
VALID 280550Z - 280640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/28/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-031-033-049-067-069-085-095-099-123-137-141-280640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC STEPHENS TILLMAN
$$
TXC003-009-023-033-077-081-115-135-151-165-173-207-227-237-253-
263-275-317-329-335-337-353-415-417-431-433-441-447-485-487-503-
280640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARCHER BAYLOR
BORDEN CLAY COKE
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KNOX MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 115
VALID 280550Z - 280640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/28/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-031-033-049-067-069-085-095-099-123-137-141-280640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC STEPHENS TILLMAN
$$
TXC003-009-023-033-077-081-115-135-151-165-173-207-227-237-253-
263-275-317-329-335-337-353-415-417-431-433-441-447-485-487-503-
280640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARCHER BAYLOR
BORDEN CLAY COKE
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KNOX MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 115
VALID 280420Z - 280540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/28/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-031-033-049-067-069-085-095-099-123-137-141-280540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC STEPHENS TILLMAN
$$
TXC003-009-023-033-077-081-115-135-151-165-173-207-227-237-253-
263-275-317-329-335-337-353-415-417-431-433-441-447-485-487-503-
280540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARCHER BAYLOR
BORDEN CLAY COKE
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KNOX MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 115
VALID 280345Z - 280440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/28/21
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-031-033-049-067-069-085-095-099-123-137-141-280440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC STEPHENS TILLMAN
$$
TXC003-009-023-033-077-081-115-135-151-165-173-207-227-237-253-
263-275-317-329-335-337-353-415-417-431-433-441-447-485-487-503-
280440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARCHER BAYLOR
BORDEN CLAY COKE
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KNOX MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.