SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 254
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   950 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN FLORIDA
          SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 950 AM UNTIL
   500 PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CROSS
   CITY FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 249...WW 250...WW
   251...WW 252...WW 253...
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE FRONTAL CONVECTION CURRENTLY DRAPED
   ACROSS THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GA WILL ADVANCE TOWARD
   THE ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.  ADDITIONAL
   HEATING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE NRN PENINSULA WILL ENHANCE THE RISK FOR
   FURTHER DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING
   WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...DARROW/HART

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 254
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   950 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN FLORIDA
          SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 950 AM UNTIL
   500 PM EDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CROSS
   CITY FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 249...WW 250...WW
   251...WW 252...WW 253...
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE FRONTAL CONVECTION CURRENTLY DRAPED
   ACROSS THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GA WILL ADVANCE TOWARD
   THE ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.  ADDITIONAL
   HEATING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE NRN PENINSULA WILL ENHANCE THE RISK FOR
   FURTHER DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING
   WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...DARROW/HART

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 254
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   950 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN FLORIDA
          SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 950 AM UNTIL
   500 PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CROSS
   CITY FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 249...WW 250...WW
   251...WW 252...WW 253...
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE FRONTAL CONVECTION CURRENTLY DRAPED
   ACROSS THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GA WILL ADVANCE TOWARD
   THE ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.  ADDITIONAL
   HEATING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE NRN PENINSULA WILL ENHANCE THE RISK FOR
   FURTHER DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING
   WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...DARROW/HART

   WOUS64 KWNS 281345
   WOU4
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 254
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   950 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 254 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-041-047-067-079-089-107-109-121-
   123-125-282100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0254.110428T1350Z-110428T2100Z/
   
   FL 
   .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALACHUA              BAKER               BRADFORD            
   CLAY                 COLUMBIA            DIXIE               
   DUVAL                GILCHRIST           HAMILTON            
   LAFAYETTE            MADISON             NASSAU              
   PUTNAM               ST. JOHNS           SUWANNEE            
   TAYLOR               UNION               
   
   
   GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-101-127-173-185-229-299-305-
   282100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0254.110428T1350Z-110428T2100Z/
   
   GA 
   .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   APPLING              ATKINSON            BACON               
   BRANTLEY             CAMDEN              CHARLTON            
   CLINCH               ECHOLS              GLYNN               
   LANIER               LOWNDES             PIERCE              
   WARE                 WAYNE               
   
   
   AMZ450-452-GMZ730-755-765-282100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0254.110428T1350Z-110428T2100Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
   NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
   NM 
   
   APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
   RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
   20 NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
   
   
   

   SAW4 
   WW 254 SEVERE TSTM FL GA CW 281350Z - 282100Z
   AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   55NNE SSI/BRUNSWICK GA/ - 20SW CTY/CROSS CITY FL/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /17S SAV - 18SW CTY/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   LAT...LON 31877980 29428208 29428458 31878237
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU4.
   

Watch 254 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 254

VALID 282040Z - 282140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GARNER..04/28/11

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 254 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-029-031-035-041-067-083-089-107-109-123-125-
282140-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     DIXIE		 DUVAL		     
FLAGLER 	     GILCHRIST		 LAFAYETTE	     
MARION		     NASSAU		 PUTNAM 	     
ST. JOHNS	     TAYLOR		 UNION		     
$$


AMZ450-452-454-GMZ730-765-282140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 254

VALID 281940Z - 282040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GARNER..04/28/11

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 254 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-041-047-067-089-107-109-121-123-
125-282040-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     COLUMBIA		 DIXIE		     
DUVAL		     GILCHRIST		 HAMILTON	     
LAFAYETTE	     NASSAU		 PUTNAM 	     
ST. JOHNS	     SUWANNEE		 TAYLOR 	     
UNION		     
$$


GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-101-127-229-299-305-282040-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

APPLING 	     ATKINSON		 BACON		     
BRANTLEY	     CAMDEN		 CHARLTON	     
CLINCH		     ECHOLS		 GLYNN		     
PIERCE		     WARE		 WAYNE		     
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ730-765-282040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 254

VALID 281835Z - 281940Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GARNER..04/28/11

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 254 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-041-047-067-079-089-107-109-121-
123-125-281940-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     COLUMBIA		 DIXIE		     
DUVAL		     GILCHRIST		 HAMILTON	     
LAFAYETTE	     MADISON		 NASSAU 	     
PUTNAM		     ST. JOHNS		 SUWANNEE	     
TAYLOR		     UNION		 
$$


GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-101-127-173-185-229-299-305-
281940-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

APPLING 	     ATKINSON		 BACON		     
BRANTLEY	     CAMDEN		 CHARLTON	     
CLINCH		     ECHOLS		 GLYNN		     
LANIER		     LOWNDES		 PIERCE 	     
WARE		     WAYNE		 
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ730-755-765-281940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 254

VALID 281740Z - 281840Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GARNER..04/28/11

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 254 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-041-047-067-079-089-107-109-121-
123-125-281840-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     COLUMBIA		 DIXIE		     
DUVAL		     GILCHRIST		 HAMILTON	     
LAFAYETTE	     MADISON		 NASSAU 	     
PUTNAM		     ST. JOHNS		 SUWANNEE	     
TAYLOR		     UNION		 
$$


GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-101-127-173-185-229-299-305-
281840-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

APPLING 	     ATKINSON		 BACON		     
BRANTLEY	     CAMDEN		 CHARLTON	     
CLINCH		     ECHOLS		 GLYNN		     
LANIER		     LOWNDES		 PIERCE 	     
WARE		     WAYNE		 
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ730-755-765-281840-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 254

VALID 281630Z - 281740Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 663

..GARNER..04/28/11

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 254 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-041-047-067-079-089-107-109-121-
123-125-281740-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA 	     BAKER		 BRADFORD	     
CLAY		     COLUMBIA		 DIXIE		     
DUVAL		     GILCHRIST		 HAMILTON	     
LAFAYETTE	     MADISON		 NASSAU 	     
PUTNAM		     ST. JOHNS		 SUWANNEE	     
TAYLOR		     UNION		 
$$


GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-101-127-173-185-229-299-305-
281740-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

APPLING 	     ATKINSON		 BACON		     
BRANTLEY	     CAMDEN		 CHARLTON	     
CLINCH		     ECHOLS		 GLYNN		     
LANIER		     LOWNDES		 PIERCE 	     
WARE		     WAYNE		 
$$


AMZ450-452-GMZ730-755-765-281740-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM 

APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.