Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 222
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
935 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST ALABAMA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
MUCH OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 935 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TUPELO
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 215...WW 217...WW
218...WW 219...WW 220...WW 221...
DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
THRU THE NIGHT. WITH VERY STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES AND MLCAPES
AOA 2500 J/KG LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY WITH POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...DAMAGING TORNADOS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 222 TORNADO AL AR LA MS 270235Z - 271000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25SSW SHV/SHREVEPORT LA/ - 50ENE TUP/TUPELO MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /40SSW EIC - 25WSW MSL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 33209398 35638795 33458795 31039398
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 222 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 222
VALID 270900Z - 271040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 222
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC021-035-043-059-067-069-073-083-085-123-127-271040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL EAST CARROLL GRANT
LA SALLE MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RICHLAND SABINE
WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC055-117-125-271040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ISSAQUENA PRENTISS SHARKEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 222
VALID 270710Z - 270840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW SHV
TO 25 NNE MLU TO 5 WNW LLQ TO 25 ENE LLQ TO 60 ENE PBF.
..DIAL..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 222
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-270840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
$$
ARC003-017-041-043-107-270840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT DESHA
DREW PHILLIPS
$$
LAC021-025-035-041-043-059-065-067-069-073-083-085-107-123-127-
270840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CATAHOULA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN GRANT LA SALLE
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RICHLAND SABINE
TENSAS WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-043-049-051-053-055-
057-071-079-081-083-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-105-107-115-117-
119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-151-155-159-161-163-
270840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
COAHOMA GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEAKE
LEE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MADISON MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS QUITMAN RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 222
VALID 270540Z - 270640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW SHV TO
25 NW ELD TO 25 ENE LLQ TO 55 ENE PBF.
..DIAL..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 222
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-270640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
$$
ARC003-011-013-017-027-041-043-073-107-139-270640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY BRADLEY CALHOUN
CHICOT COLUMBIA DESHA
DREW LAFAYETTE PHILLIPS
UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-025-027-031-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-
069-073-081-083-085-107-111-119-123-127-270640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
WINN
$$
MSC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-043-049-051-053-055-
057-071-079-081-083-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-105-107-115-117-
119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-151-155-159-161-163-
270640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
COAHOMA GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEAKE
LEE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MADISON MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS QUITMAN RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 222
VALID 270435Z - 270540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW SHV
TO 40 WSW PBF.
..ROGERS..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 222
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-270540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
$$
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-069-073-079-103-107-
139-270540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LINCOLN OUACHITA PHILLIPS
UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-025-027-031-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-
069-073-081-083-085-107-111-119-123-127-270540-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
WINN
$$
MSC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-043-049-051-053-055-
057-071-079-081-083-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-105-107-115-117-
119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-151-155-159-161-163-
270540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
COAHOMA GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEAKE
LEE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MADISON MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS QUITMAN RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 222
VALID 270335Z - 270440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 222
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-270440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
$$
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-069-073-079-091-103-
107-139-270440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LINCOLN MILLER OUACHITA
PHILLIPS UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-025-027-031-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-
069-073-081-083-085-107-111-119-123-127-270440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
WINN
$$
MSC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-043-049-051-053-055-
057-071-079-081-083-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-105-107-115-117-
119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-151-155-159-161-163-
270440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
COAHOMA GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEAKE
LEE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MADISON MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS QUITMAN RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.