Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 217
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INCLUDING THE BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
WEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH OF FORT
CAMPBELL KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES EAST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 213...WW 214...WW
215...WW 216...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ALONG A WEAK SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL AR INTO WESTERN KY. A FEW OF THESE
INITIAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE RISK OF
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING AS
STORMS FORM TO THE SOUTHWEST AND MOVE INTO THE WATCH AREA. VERY
STRONG SHEAR PROFILES DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WATCH PERIOD
SUGGEST THAT PDS WORDING IS APPROPRIATE...WITH STRONG TORNADOES
POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 217 TORNADO AR IL KY MO MS TN 262005Z - 270300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75N HOP/FORT CAMPBELL KY/ - 35E ELD/EL DORADO AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /17SE PXV - 27E ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 37758619 33209100 33209343 37758876
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 217 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 217
VALID 270140Z - 270240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 217
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-017-021-031-035-037-041-043-045-055-067-069-077-079-
085-093-095-107-111-117-119-121-123-135-145-147-270240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY CHICOT
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GREENE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEE LINCOLN
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SHARP WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC069-127-151-270240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC POPE
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-270240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-009-011-013-017-027-033-057-071-081-093-095-107-115-119-
133-135-137-139-141-143-145-151-161-270240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CHICKASAW COAHOMA
DESOTO ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE MARSHALL MONROE
PANOLA PONTOTOC QUITMAN
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO TUNICA
UNION WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-270240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-083-085-
095-097-109-113-125-131-157-161-167-183-270240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LAKE LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
SHELBY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 217
VALID 270035Z - 270140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 601
..DEAN..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 217
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-017-021-031-035-037-041-043-045-055-067-069-077-079-
085-093-095-107-111-117-119-121-123-135-145-147-270140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY CHICOT
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GREENE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEE LINCOLN
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SHARP WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC069-127-151-270140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC POPE
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-270140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-009-011-013-017-027-033-057-071-081-093-095-107-115-119-
133-135-137-139-141-143-145-151-161-270140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CHICKASAW COAHOMA
DESOTO ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE MARSHALL MONROE
PANOLA PONTOTOC QUITMAN
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO TUNICA
UNION WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-270140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-083-085-
095-097-109-113-125-131-157-161-167-183-270140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LAKE LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
SHELBY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 217
VALID 262345Z - 270040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 601
..DEAN..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 217
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-017-021-031-035-037-041-043-045-055-067-069-077-079-
085-093-095-107-111-117-119-121-123-135-145-147-270040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY CHICOT
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GREENE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEE LINCOLN
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SHARP WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC069-127-151-270040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC POPE
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-270040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-009-011-013-017-027-033-057-071-081-093-095-107-115-119-
133-135-137-139-141-143-145-151-161-270040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CHICKASAW COAHOMA
DESOTO ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE MARSHALL MONROE
PANOLA PONTOTOC QUITMAN
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO TUNICA
UNION WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-270040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-083-085-
095-097-109-113-125-131-157-161-167-183-270040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LAKE LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
SHELBY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 217
VALID 262235Z - 262340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 217
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-017-021-031-035-037-041-043-045-055-067-069-077-079-
085-093-095-107-111-117-119-121-123-135-145-147-262340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY CHICOT
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GREENE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEE LINCOLN
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SHARP WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC069-127-151-262340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC POPE
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-262340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC009-011-027-033-093-107-119-133-135-137-143-151-262340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOLIVAR COAHOMA
DESOTO MARSHALL PANOLA
QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TUNICA WASHINGTON
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-262340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-045-047-053-069-075-077-079-083-085-095-097-
113-125-131-157-161-167-183-262340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DYER FAYETTE
GIBSON HARDEMAN HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
SHELBY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 217
VALID 262130Z - 262240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 217
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-017-021-031-035-037-041-043-045-055-067-069-077-079-
085-093-095-107-111-117-119-123-145-147-262240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY CHICOT
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GREENE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEE LINCOLN
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI ST. FRANCIS WHITE
WOODRUFF
$$
ILC069-127-151-262240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC POPE
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-262240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC009-011-027-033-093-107-119-133-135-137-143-151-262240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOLIVAR COAHOMA
DESOTO MARSHALL PANOLA
QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TUNICA WASHINGTON
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-262240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-045-047-053-069-075-077-079-083-085-095-097-
113-125-131-157-161-167-183-262240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DYER FAYETTE
GIBSON HARDEMAN HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
SHELBY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (80%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.