Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 214
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN MARYLAND
NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
WESTERN VIRGINIA
MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF MORGANTOWN WEST VIRGINIA TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF DUBLIN VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 213...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA IN A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WEAK
ASCENT. SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL WINDS AND LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
SUPPORT A RISK OF A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 214 SEVERE TSTM MD NC VA WV 261810Z - 270100Z
AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30ENE MGW/MORGANTOWN WV/ - 60SSW PSK/DUBLIN VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM E/W /40SW JST - 49SSW PSK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
LAT...LON 39797733 36317912 36318306 39798147
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 214 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 214
VALID 270055Z - 270100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE HGR TO
5 SSW MRB TO 40 NNE SHD TO 30 WNW SHD TO 35 NNE SSU TO 45 N SSU
TO 15 W EKN TO 30 ESE MGW TO 25 SSE LBE.
WW 214 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270100Z.
..DEAN..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-043-270100-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY WASHINGTON
$$
VAC069-091-171-840-270100-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREDERICK HIGHLAND SHENANDOAH
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
WINCHESTER
$$
WVC003-023-027-031-057-065-071-075-083-270100-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE
HARDY MINERAL MORGAN
PENDLETON POCAHONTAS RANDOLPH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 214
VALID 262355Z - 270040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S TRI TO
25 WSW BLF TO 10 NE BKW TO 45 SW EKN TO 10 W EKN TO 20 SSW MGW TO
25 NNW MGW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 603
..DEAN..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-043-270040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY WASHINGTON
$$
NCC033-157-169-270040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASWELL ROCKINGHAM STOKES
$$
VAC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-029-031-035-037-043-045-
063-067-069-071-077-079-083-089-091-113-121-125-139-141-143-155-
161-163-165-171-173-187-197-515-530-540-580-590-640-660-678-680-
690-750-770-775-790-820-840-270040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX AUGUSTA BATH
BEDFORD BLAND BOTETOURT
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CARROLL
CHARLOTTE CLARKE CRAIG
FLOYD FRANKLIN FREDERICK
GILES GRAYSON GREENE
HALIFAX HENRY HIGHLAND
MADISON MONTGOMERY NELSON
PAGE PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA
PULASKI ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE
ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH SMYTH
WARREN WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE
COVINGTON DANVILLE GALAX
HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE RADFORD ROANOKE
SALEM STAUNTON WAYNESBORO
WINCHESTER
$$
WVC003-023-025-027-031-037-055-057-063-065-071-075-083-089-
270040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY GRANT GREENBRIER
HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON
MERCER MINERAL MONROE
MORGAN PENDLETON POCAHONTAS
RANDOLPH SUMMERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 214
VALID 262255Z - 262340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE HKY
TO 5 NNW SSU TO 45 E CRW TO 15 N MGW.
..ROGERS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-043-262340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY WASHINGTON
$$
NCC033-157-169-262340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASWELL ROCKINGHAM STOKES
$$
VAC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-023-029-031-035-037-043-045-063-
067-069-079-083-089-091-113-121-125-139-141-143-161-163-165-171-
187-515-530-540-580-590-640-660-678-680-690-770-775-790-820-840-
262340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX AUGUSTA BATH
BEDFORD BOTETOURT BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CARROLL CHARLOTTE
CLARKE CRAIG FLOYD
FRANKLIN FREDERICK GREENE
HALIFAX HENRY HIGHLAND
MADISON MONTGOMERY NELSON
PAGE PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM
SHENANDOAH WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE
COVINGTON DANVILLE GALAX
HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE ROANOKE SALEM
STAUNTON WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER
$$
WVC001-003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-075-083-091-097-101-
262340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BERKELEY GRANT
HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON
MINERAL MORGAN PENDLETON
POCAHONTAS RANDOLPH TAYLOR
UPSHUR WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 214
VALID 262135Z - 262240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE HKY
TO SSU TO 45 ENE CRW TO 20 NNW MGW.
..ROGERS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-043-262240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY WASHINGTON
$$
NCC033-157-169-262240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASWELL ROCKINGHAM STOKES
$$
VAC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-023-029-031-035-037-043-045-063-
067-069-079-083-089-091-113-121-125-139-141-143-161-163-165-171-
187-515-530-540-580-590-640-660-678-680-690-770-775-790-820-840-
262240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX AUGUSTA BATH
BEDFORD BOTETOURT BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CARROLL CHARLOTTE
CLARKE CRAIG FLOYD
FRANKLIN FREDERICK GREENE
HALIFAX HENRY HIGHLAND
MADISON MONTGOMERY NELSON
PAGE PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM
SHENANDOAH WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE
COVINGTON DANVILLE GALAX
HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE ROANOKE SALEM
STAUNTON WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER
$$
WVC001-003-007-023-027-031-033-037-041-057-065-071-075-083-091-
097-101-262240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BERKELEY BRAXTON
GRANT HAMPSHIRE HARDY
HARRISON JEFFERSON LEWIS
MINERAL MORGAN PENDLETON
POCAHONTAS RANDOLPH TAYLOR
UPSHUR WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 214
VALID 262040Z - 262140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE HKY
TO SSU TO 35 ENE CRW TO 25 W MGW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 595.
..GRAMS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-043-262140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY WASHINGTON
$$
NCC033-157-169-262140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASWELL ROCKINGHAM STOKES
$$
VAC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-023-029-031-035-037-043-045-063-
067-069-079-083-089-091-113-121-125-139-141-143-161-163-165-171-
187-515-530-540-580-590-640-660-678-680-690-770-775-790-820-840-
262140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX AUGUSTA BATH
BEDFORD BOTETOURT BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CARROLL CHARLOTTE
CLARKE CRAIG FLOYD
FRANKLIN FREDERICK GREENE
HALIFAX HENRY HIGHLAND
MADISON MONTGOMERY NELSON
PAGE PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM
SHENANDOAH WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE
COVINGTON DANVILLE GALAX
HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE ROANOKE SALEM
STAUNTON WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER
$$
WVC001-003-007-021-023-027-031-033-037-041-057-065-067-071-075-
083-091-097-101-262140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BERKELEY BRAXTON
GILMER GRANT HAMPSHIRE
HARDY HARRISON JEFFERSON
LEWIS MINERAL MORGAN
NICHOLAS PENDLETON POCAHONTAS
RANDOLPH TAYLOR UPSHUR
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 214
VALID 261930Z - 262040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-043-262040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY WASHINGTON
$$
NCC033-157-169-262040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASWELL ROCKINGHAM STOKES
$$
VAC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-027-029-031-035-037-043-
045-051-063-067-069-071-077-079-083-089-091-113-121-125-139-141-
143-155-161-163-165-171-173-185-187-197-515-530-540-580-590-640-
660-678-680-690-750-770-775-790-820-840-262040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
APPOMATTOX AUGUSTA BATH
BEDFORD BLAND BOTETOURT
BUCHANAN BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL
CARROLL CHARLOTTE CLARKE
CRAIG DICKENSON FLOYD
FRANKLIN FREDERICK GILES
GRAYSON GREENE HALIFAX
HENRY HIGHLAND MADISON
MONTGOMERY NELSON PAGE
PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA PULASKI
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM
SHENANDOAH SMYTH TAZEWELL
WARREN WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE
COVINGTON DANVILLE GALAX
HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE RADFORD ROANOKE
SALEM STAUNTON WAYNESBORO
WINCHESTER
$$
WVC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-031-033-
035-037-039-041-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-071-073-
075-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-095-097-099-101-105-107-109-
262040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BERKELEY BOONE
BRAXTON CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE FAYETTE
GILMER GRANT GREENBRIER
HAMPSHIRE HARDY HARRISON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MERCER
MINERAL MINGO MONROE
MORGAN NICHOLAS PENDLETON
PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS PUTNAM
RALEIGH RANDOLPH RITCHIE
ROANE SUMMERS TAYLOR
TYLER UPSHUR WAYNE
WEBSTER WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.