Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 198
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF NORTHERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1145 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS TO 50 MILES NORTH OF LONGVIEW
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 196. WATCH NUMBER 196 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT
AFTER 1145 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 197...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE A THREAT THRU MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH AND WIND MAX PROVIDING LARGE SCALE ASCENT. WITH THE AIR MASS
REMAINING MDTLY UNSTABLE AND THE AVAILABLE SHEAR ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO REDEVELOP FROM THE DRY LINE WRN
PORTION OF THE WATCH EWD. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
LOCAL DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 198 SEVERE TSTM TX 250445Z - 251000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45NNW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/ - 50N GGG/LONGVIEW TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /39NNW SJT - 41SW TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
REPLACES WW 196..TX
LAT...LON 32840079 33979472 32249472 31100079
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 198 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 198
VALID 250835Z - 250940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE BWD TO
20 W SEP TO 15 SE MWL TO 45 NNW FTW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 565
..DIAL..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 198
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC057-061-081-091-099-133-250940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA SEVIER
$$
OKC089-250940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC035-037-063-067-085-093-097-113-119-121-139-143-147-159-181-
183-193-213-217-221-223-231-251-257-277-343-349-367-379-387-397-
423-425-439-449-459-467-497-499-250940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BOWIE CAMP
CASS COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MORRIS NAVARRO
PARKER RAINS RED RIVER
ROCKWALL SMITH SOMERVELL
TARRANT TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 198
VALID 250735Z - 250840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW BWD
TO 30 NNW BWD TO 20 WNW MWL TO 40 N MWL.
..DIAL..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 198
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC057-061-081-091-099-133-250840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA SEVIER
$$
OKC089-250840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC035-037-049-063-067-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-
159-181-183-193-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-333-337-343-
349-363-367-379-387-397-423-425-439-449-459-467-497-499-
250840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BOWIE BROWN
CAMP CASS COLLIN
COMANCHE COOKE DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FANNIN
FRANKLIN GRAYSON GREGG
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MILLS MONTAGUE
MORRIS NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS RED RIVER
ROCKWALL SMITH SOMERVELL
TARRANT TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 198
VALID 250545Z - 250640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 198
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-059-063-081-083-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-
147-151-159-181-183-193-207-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-253-257-
277-333-337-343-349-353-363-367-379-387-397-399-417-423-425-429-
439-441-447-449-459-467-497-499-503-250640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
CAMP COKE COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN FISHER FRANKLIN
GRAYSON GREGG HAMILTON
HASKELL HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON JONES
KAUFMAN LAMAR MILLS
MONTAGUE MORRIS NAVARRO
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
RUNNELS SHACKELFORD SMITH
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WISE
WOOD YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.