Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 466...CORRECTED
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008
CORRECTED FOR ADDING PDS
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF EASTERN KANSAS
PARTS OF WESTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 455 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 90 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHANUTE
KANSAS TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF FALLS CITY NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 462...WW
463...WW 464...WW 465...
DISCUSSION...TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF
DRY LINE ERN KS AND WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NNEWD INTO WRN MO THIS
EVENING. VERY STRONG SHEAR COUPLED WITH 2500 J/KG ML CAPE SUPPORT
POTENTIAL FOR LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLE STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23055.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 466 TORNADO KS MO 052150Z - 060500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SW CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 50NE FNB/FALLS CITY NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /47W OSW - 51SE OVR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..80 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23055.
LAT...LON 37099737 40569616 40569369 37099501
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 466 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 466
VALID 060435Z - 060540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW BVO
TO 15 NW CNU TO 40 NNE CNU TO 10 ENE FLV TO 15 SE SDA.
..BROYLES..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 466
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-091-099-107-121-125-133-205-209-060540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA JOHNSON
LABETTE LINN MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-013-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-095-129-147-177-
227-060540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BATES CALDWELL
CASS CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON JACKSON
MERCER NODAWAY RAY
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 466
VALID 060350Z - 060440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW BVO
TO 30 NNW CNU TO 15 W FLV TO 15 WSW SDA.
..BROYLES..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 466
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-019-043-045-059-091-099-103-107-121-125-133-205-207-
209-060440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON CHAUTAUQUA
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
JOHNSON LABETTE LEAVENWORTH
LINN MIAMI MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
129-147-165-177-227-060440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
MERCER NODAWAY PLATTE
RAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 466
VALID 060250Z - 060340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW PNC
TO 40 SSW EMP TO 25 SSW TOP TO 5 SE FNB TO 25 WSW SDA.
..BROYLES..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 466
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-013-019-031-035-043-045-049-059-073-087-091-099-
103-107-121-125-133-139-205-207-209-060340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BROWN CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY
COWLEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
ELK FRANKLIN GREENWOOD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO OSAGE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
129-147-165-177-227-060340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
MERCER NODAWAY PLATTE
RAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 466
VALID 060030Z - 060140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 466
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-013-015-017-019-031-035-043-045-049-059-073-085-
087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-127-131-133-139-149-177-197-205-
207-209-060140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY COWLEY
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY MORRIS
NEMAHA NEOSHO OSAGE
POTTAWATOMIE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
129-147-165-177-227-060140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
MERCER NODAWAY PLATTE
RAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 466
VALID 052340Z - 060040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1238
..GUYER..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 466
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-013-015-017-019-031-035-043-045-049-059-073-085-
087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-127-131-133-139-149-177-197-205-
207-209-060040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY COWLEY
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY MORRIS
NEMAHA NEOSHO OSAGE
POTTAWATOMIE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
129-147-165-177-227-060040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
MERCER NODAWAY PLATTE
RAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (70%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.