Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 465
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLINTON
OKLAHOMA TO 135 MILES SOUTH OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 462...WW
463...WW 464...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG SURFACE
DRYLINE FROM SOUTHWEST OK INTO WESTERN NORTH TX DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
EXPECTED. HIGH LCLS WILL LIMIT OVERALL TORNADO THREAT...BUT STRONG
DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR MAY RESULT IN A FEW SPIN UPS
WITH STRONGEST CELLS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 465 TORNADO OK TX 051920Z - 060300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE CSM/CLINTON OK/ - 135S CDS/CHILDRESS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /53SW END - 21W ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 35729744 32479908 32470148 35729994
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 465 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 465
VALID 052335Z - 060040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 465
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-017-031-033-051-055-057-065-075-141-149-060040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-101-125-151-155-169-197-207-253-263-269-275-
353-417-433-441-447-485-487-060040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE DICKENS
FISHER FOARD GARZA
HARDEMAN HASKELL JONES
KENT KING KNOX
NOLAN SHACKELFORD STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 465
VALID 052225Z - 052340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1236
..GUYER..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 465
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-017-031-033-051-055-057-065-075-141-149-052340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-101-125-151-155-169-197-207-253-263-269-275-
353-417-433-441-447-485-487-052340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE DICKENS
FISHER FOARD GARZA
HARDEMAN HASKELL JONES
KENT KING KNOX
NOLAN SHACKELFORD STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 465
VALID 052140Z - 052240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 465
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-017-031-033-051-055-057-065-075-141-149-052240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-101-125-151-155-169-197-207-253-263-269-275-
353-417-433-441-447-485-487-052240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE DICKENS
FISHER FOARD GARZA
HARDEMAN HASKELL JONES
KENT KING KNOX
NOLAN SHACKELFORD STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 465
VALID 052045Z - 052140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 465
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-017-031-033-051-055-057-065-075-141-149-052140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-101-125-151-155-169-197-207-253-263-269-275-
353-417-433-441-447-485-487-052140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE DICKENS
FISHER FOARD GARZA
HARDEMAN HASKELL JONES
KENT KING KNOX
NOLAN SHACKELFORD STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.