SPC AC 020609

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0109 AM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
   MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday, particularly across
   parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley and central Plains.

   ...Midwest/Ozarks/Ohio Valley...
   Moderate to strong destabilization is expected within a moist air
   mass preceding an east/southeastward-moving cold front, which is
   likely to be effectively augmented by early day convection and
   residual cloud cover. As a shortwave trough transitions
   northeastward over the Great Lakes toward Ontario, at least weak
   height falls and moderately strong mid-level westerlies will
   generally influence areas as far south as the Ohio River and parts
   of the Ozark Plateau. Intensifying multicells/banded clusters are
   probable into Wednesday afternoon, with bouts of wind damage as the
   primary hazard through evening.

   ...High Plains/Central Plains...
   Height falls and a strengthening of cyclonically curved westerlies
   are expected ahead (east-southeast) of an amplifying mid/upper-level
   trough over the northern Rockies and northern High Plains. By
   mid/late-afternoon Wednesday, potentially severe storms capable of
   hail/strong wind gusts will be possible within a broad north/south
   corridor from the western Dakotas and southeast Montana/northeast
   Wyoming southward into eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and
   Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. Some tornado risk may also exist near the
   north/south-oriented surface trough across the central High Plains
   including western Nebraska/eastern Colorado/northwest Kansas, where
   deep-layer/low-level shear will be stronger and more favorable for
   initial supercells. The most focused area of potentially severe
   storms, including possible evening-time MCS development, may evolve
   from western Nebraska/northeast Colorado into western/northern
   Kansas and southern Nebraska.

   ..Guyer.. 07/02/2024

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z